Bay of Plenty Playoff Chances 2016 50/50Did not play, playoff odds down 1.7 to 60.4% 9 points 1-0 3 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | +14.8 | | +4.2 | | -12.1 | | +0.6 | | Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | +2.2 | | -0.4 | | -1.5 | | +0.1 | | Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | -2.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | -1.9 | | +0.5 | | +0.5 | | -0.0 | | Otago 30 Tasman 27 | -0.2 | | | | -0.5 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | | | -0.8+0.2+0.8 | | -1.3+0.4+1.3 | | | | Auckland vs Waikato | | | -0.2+1.3+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | | | Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | | | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | -15.3+1.0+15.2 | | -8.3+0.2+8.3 | | +6.2-0.8-6.1 | | -0.6+0.0+0.6 | | Southland vs Bay of Plenty | -14.6-0.2+14.6 | | -7.5+0.3+7.5 | | +7.1-0.6-7.0 | | -0.5-0.0+0.5 | | Otago vs North Harbour | +3.6-0.6-3.6 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | -0.4+0.2+0.4 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Manawatu vs Canterbury | -3.0+0.5+3.0 | | +0.2+0.6-0.3 | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | -2.0+1.5+1.9 | | | | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Tasman vs Northland | +1.3-0.5-1.3 | | -0.5*+0.0+0.5 | | -0.8+1.2+0.8 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Waikato vs Taranaki | | | +0.1+1.2-0.1 | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | | | Auckland vs Counties Manukau | | | -0.2+0.3+0.2 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bay of Plenty finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 48 | 52 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,011,059 | | 26 | | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 99.7 | | 19 | 78 | 4 | 0 | | | | No | 782,198 | | 24 | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 89.8 | | 14 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 17,835,969 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | | 91.2 | | 14 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 85,767 | | 22 | | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 99.9 | | 59.2 | | 2 | 60 | 34 | 4 | 0 | | | No | 3,902,418 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | | 58.5 | | 2 | 64 | 31 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 4,937 | | 20 | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 98.8 | | 9.1 | | 1 | 36 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | No | 44,596,049 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 98.9 | | 10.0 | | 1 | 37 | 48 | 14 | 1 | | | No | 341,082 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 98.9 | | 11.6 | | 1 | 33 | 54 | 12 | 1 | | | No | 189 | | 18 | | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 92.3 | | 0.5 | | | 12 | 45 | 35 | 8 | 0 | | No | 7,804,739 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 92.2 | | 0.4 | | | 13 | 45 | 34 | 8 | 0 | | No | 14,935 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | No | | | 100 | | | | | No | 2 | | 16 | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 73.9 | | 0.0 | | | 3 | 25 | 46 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 59,453,395 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 74.2 | | 0.0 | | | 3 | 25 | 46 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | 511,960 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 73.0 | | No | | 2 | 29 | 42 | 26 | 1 | | No | 311 | | 14 | | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 39.8 | | No | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 0.3 | | 7,810,277 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 39.0 | | No | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0.2 | | 14,813 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | Out | No | | | | | 100 | | | No | 1 | | 12 | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13.6 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 5.9 | | 44,593,578 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13.8 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 31 | 2 | 5.8 | | 343,376 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15.3 | | No | | | 1 | 14 | 54 | 28 | 3 | 5.1 | | 177 | | 10 | | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1.9 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 53 | 15 | 37.7 | | 3,900,670 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1.2 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 28 | 54 | 17 | 39.0 | | 4,949 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 34 | 71.5 | | 17,838,040 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 32 | 71.0 | | 85,743 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | 2 | 34 | 64 | 94.8 | | 781,019 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 21 | 79 | 99.2 | | 3,010,571 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 60.4 | % | 12.1 | % | 2 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 9.6 | % | 216,728,224 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |