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Auckland Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 2.3 to 73.7%
14 points 3-0 1 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Otago 30 Tasman 27 | +2.6 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | -2.2 | -1.4 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | +2.2 | +0.5 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | +1.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Auckland vs Waikato | +13.4+0.7-13.4 | +16.1*-0.0-16.1 | -0.9-0.4+0.9 | +0.6+0.0-0.6 | ||||
| Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | -0.6-1.0+0.6 | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | ||||||
| Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | -0.2+1.1+0.2 | -1.5+1.0+1.5 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Auckland vs Counties Manukau | +13.6+1.7-13.7 | +16.2+0.9-16.3 | -0.9-0.4+0.9 | +0.6+0.1-0.7 | ||||
| Tasman vs Northland | -2.5-1.5+2.6 | -0.9-0.5+0.9 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Manawatu vs Canterbury | +1.0+0.4-1.0 | -0.1+2.2+0.0 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | +0.8+0.7-0.8 | +0.0+0.3-0.0 | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |||||
| Waikato vs Taranaki | -0.4-0.1+0.5 | +0.2+0.8-0.3 | ||||||
| Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | -1.0-1.5+1.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +0.8-0.4-0.8 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| Otago vs North Harbour | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Auckland finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | |||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | No | 3,012,769 | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 781,313 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 100.0 | % | 74 | 26 | 1 | 0 | No | 17,832,198 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | Yes | 75 | 24 | 0 | No | 85,553 | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 99.9 | 62 | 35 | 3 | 0 | No | 3,902,916 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 100.0 | 63 | 34 | 2 | No | 5,002 | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 97.5 | 28 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 44,599,453 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | 97.8 | 29 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 342,036 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 97.4 | 32 | 52 | 16 | 1 | No | 155 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 99.7 | 77.2 | 12 | 46 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,802,767 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 99.8 | 77.8 | 13 | 47 | 34 | 6 | 0 | No | 14,823 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | Yes | 50 | 50 | No | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 95.4 | 28.6 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 59,462,105 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 94.9 | 27.8 | 1 | 19 | 46 | 29 | 5 | 0 | No | 512,790 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 93.9 | 26.5 | 1 | 18 | 42 | 32 | 6 | No | 344 | ||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 74.7 | 1.8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | No | 7,807,862 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 75.6 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 3 | No | 14,894 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 50.0 | No | 50 | 50 | No | 2 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 39.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0.0 | % | 44,583,207 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 36.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 46 | 18 | 1 | No | 341,866 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29.9 | No | 2 | 28 | 47 | 21 | 2 | No | 177 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 44 | 4 | 0.0 | 3,905,343 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10.8 | No | 0 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 3 | 0.0 | 4,992 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 58 | 19 | 1.7 | 17,836,494 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 18 | 61 | 21 | 2.2 | 85,210 | ||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 63 | 32 | 20.0 | 781,814 | |||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 55.2 | 3,012,137 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 73.7 | % | 42.8 | % | 16 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1.0 | % | 216,728,224 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
