Taranaki Playoff Chances

Beat Manawatu 44-10, playoff odds up 1.3 to 100%

32 points 6-0 3 0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Manawatu 10 Taranaki 44	In		+0.1
Tasman 25 Canterbury 41			+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Northland			-0.0+0.1+0.3

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Taranaki vs Tasman			+0.7+0.2-0.9
Counties Manukau vs Auckland			+0.3-0.1-0.2

Chances based on how well the Taranaki finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed							Relegated to
TP	W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	Championship	Count

28	1	-	0	0		0		In		92	8					No	25,623,330
26	0	-	0	0		1		In		40	60					No	661,261
24	0	-	0	1		0		In			34	66				No	19,995,653

Total:								In		52	20	29				No	46,280,244

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Manawatu 10 Taranaki 44	-0.3
Tasman 25 Canterbury 41	-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay	-0.4-0.4+0.1
Bay of Plenty vs Wellington	-0.2+0.1+0.1
Auckland vs Northland	+0.0-0.1-0.3

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Taranaki vs Tasman	-1.0+0.2+1.3
Hawke’s Bay vs Waikato	+0.1-0.4-0.5
Counties Manukau vs Auckland	-0.3+0.1+0.2
Wellington vs Manawatu	+0.0+0.0-0.2

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L		D	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14

28	1	-	0	0		0			27	68	5
26	0	-	0	0		1			1	20	49	30
24	0	-	0	1		0				0	17	49	34

Total:									15	38	11	21	15