| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Lottery | |
| ITM Cup 2015 | |
| Championship | |
| 30 | Hawke’s Bay |
| 27 | Wellington |
| 22 | Otago |
| 19 | Bay of Plenty |
| 13 | Southland |
| 12 | North Harbour |
| 0 | Northland |
| Premiership | |
| 38 | Canterbury |
| 32 | Taranaki |
| 30 | Tasman |
| 28 | Auckland |
| 23 | Counties Manukau |
| 16 | Waikato |
| 14 | Manawatu |
| New Zealand | |
| ITM Cup | |
| England | |
| Europe | |
| France | |
| New Zealand | |
| South Africa | |
| Canada | |
| SouthernHemisphere | |
| ARC | |
| Super Rugby | |
| Elite Cup | |
| Pacific Nations | |
| Pacific Nations | |
| Junior World Ch | |
| Season: | |
| 2012 | |
| 2015 | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Feedback | |
| Friends | |
Southland Playoff Chances 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.0009 to 6.2%
13 points 2-0 5 1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| North Harbour 32 Otago 39 | -6.4 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | +6.4OutOut | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Bay of Plenty vs Wellington | Out+4.3+6.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 10/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canterbury vs Southland | OutOut+6.4 | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | ||
| Otago vs Bay of Plenty | +6.1+4.4Out | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| North Harbour vs Northland | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Southland finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Relegated to | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Championship | Count | ||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25.6 | % | 26 | 74 | No | 3,745,977 | ||||||||||
| 14 | -16 | Out | 100 | No | 7,714,062 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | Out | 51 | 49 | No | 216,897 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | Out | 49 | 51 | No | 3,749,812 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 6.2 | % | 6 | 81 | 13 | No | 15,426,748 | ||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Manawatu 10 Taranaki 44 | -0.2 | |
| Waikato 9 Counties Manukau 30 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | -0.8+0.2+0.8 | |
| Bay of Plenty vs Wellington | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 10/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Canterbury vs Southland | +0.8+0.2-0.8 | |
| Wellington vs Manawatu | -0.2-0.2+0.3 | |
| Hawke’s Bay vs Waikato | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | |
| North Harbour vs Northland | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| Otago vs Bay of Plenty | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| 18 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 74 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 49 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 51 | 24 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 50 | 25 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 49 | 51 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 6 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2015-10-3 3:31 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
