| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Lottery | |
| ITM Cup 2015 | |
| Championship | |
| 30 | Hawke’s Bay |
| 27 | Wellington |
| 22 | Otago |
| 19 | Bay of Plenty |
| 13 | Southland |
| 12 | North Harbour |
| 0 | Northland |
| Premiership | |
| 38 | Canterbury |
| 32 | Taranaki |
| 30 | Tasman |
| 28 | Auckland |
| 23 | Counties Manukau |
| 16 | Waikato |
| 14 | Manawatu |
| New Zealand | |
| ITM Cup | |
| England | |
| Europe | |
| France | |
| New Zealand | |
| South Africa | |
| Canada | |
| SouthernHemisphere | |
| ARC | |
| Super Rugby | |
| Elite Cup | |
| Pacific Nations | |
| Pacific Nations | |
| Junior World Ch | |
| Season: | |
| 2012 | |
| 2015 | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Feedback | |
| Friends | |
Bay of Plenty Playoff Chances 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0009 to 93.8%
19 points 4-0 4 0
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| North Harbour 32 Otago 39 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | -6.4InIn | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Bay of Plenty vs Wellington | In-4.3-6.1 | +0.3-0.3-0.3 | ||
| Northland vs Otago | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 10/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canterbury vs Southland | InIn-6.4 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| Otago vs Bay of Plenty | -6.1-4.4In | -0.6-0.3+0.6 | ||
| Wellington vs Manawatu | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Bay of Plenty finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Relegated to | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Championship | Count | ||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 49 | 51 | No | 3,750,155 | |||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 50 | 50 | No | 216,989 | |||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 25 | 75 | No | 7,491,739 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 100 | No | 2,996 | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 78.6 | % | 79 | 21 | No | 216,329 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 75.7 | 76 | 24 | No | 3,748,540 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 93.8 | % | 12 | 25 | 57 | 6 | No | 15,426,748 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 10/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| North Harbour 32 Otago 39 | +0.1 | |
| Manawatu 10 Taranaki 44 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Bay of Plenty vs Wellington | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | |
| Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | +0.2-0.2-0.2 | |
| Northland vs Otago | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 10/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Otago vs Bay of Plenty | +0.6+0.3-0.7 | |
| Canterbury vs Southland | -0.2-0.2+0.2 | |
| Wellington vs Manawatu | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 49 | 51 | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 50 | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 75 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 79 | 21 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 76 | 12 | 12 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 12 | 25 | 57 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2015-10-3 3:31 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
