"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*European Rugby Champions Cup Berth100.0*Average seed
Toulouse 67 Brive 19 In
Yes
+0.3
Bordeaux-Bègles 26 Oyonnax 23 -0.4
-0.4
+0.1
Toulon 37 Castres 21 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Grenoble vs Clermont+0.2+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*European Rugby Champions Cup Berth100.0*Average seed
Grenoble vs Toulouse-0.5+0.2+0.5
La Rochelle vs Racing Métro 92+0.1+0.1-0.2
Clermont vs Toulon-0.1+0.2+0.1
Paris vs Montpellier-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toulouse finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
TPW-D-LplayoffsEuropean Rugby Champions Cup Berth1234567891011121314to ProD2Count
682-0-0InYes16768No13,549,440
661-1-0InYes1171171No2,217,207
641-0-1InYes364914No16,920,877
0-2-0InYes364914No85,684
620-1-1InYes1746334No1,185,446
600-0-2InYes11350315No3,316,734
Total:InYes749291230No37,275,388
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs