"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Oyonnax Rugby Playoff Chances 2014-15
Lost to Bordeaux-Bègles 23-26, playoff odds down 16 to 66%
57 points 13-0-11
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bordeaux-Bègles 26 Oyonnax 23 | -13.9 | -13.9 | -0.7 | |||
| Montpellier 33 Bayonne 16 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.0 | |||
| Toulouse 67 Brive 19 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Lyon vs La Rochelle | +4.8+4.7-5.2 | +4.8+4.7-5.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |||
| Racing Métro 92 vs Paris | +0.2-1.6-0.3 | +0.2-1.6-0.3 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oyonnax vs Lyon | +10.0-37.1-48.2 | +10.0-37.1-48.2 | +0.3-0.9-1.4 | |||
| Paris vs Montpellier | +5.1-20.7-11.3 | +5.1-20.7-11.3 | +0.0-0.3-0.1 | |||
| Bordeaux-Bègles vs Bayonne | -3.4+0.5+9.4 | -3.4+0.5+9.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |||
| La Rochelle vs Racing Métro 92 | -2.6+4.7+3.6 | -2.6+4.7+3.6 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Clermont vs Toulon | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Grenoble vs Toulouse | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Oyonnax finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Relegated | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | to ProD2 | Count | |||||
| 60 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 0 | 2 | 20 | 55 | 23 | No | 7,168,317 | ||||||||||||||
| 58 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 88.2 | % | 88.2 | % | 0 | 3 | 30 | 55 | 11 | 1 | No | 1,884,292 | |||||||||||
| 56 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 67.3 | 67.3 | 6 | 62 | 28 | 4 | 0 | No | 23,055,430 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 67.6 | 67.6 | 6 | 62 | 28 | 4 | 0 | No | 85,941 | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 47 | 11 | 1 | No | 1,521,642 | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 31 | 4 | No | 3,559,766 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 66.0 | % | 66.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 46 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | No | 37,275,388 | |||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
