How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 5/9 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* European Rugby Champions Cup Berth 100.0* Relegated to ProD2 100.0* Average seed Bordeaux-Bègles 26 Oyonnax 23 +0.4 +0.4 +0.3 -0.1 Montpellier 33 Bayonne 16 -1.5 Toulouse 67 Brive 19 -0.3 +0.1 Toulon 37 Castres 21 -1.2 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Grenoble vs Clermont +1.0-0.9Out +1.0-0.9No -7.1-1.0+8.2 +0.8-0.2-0.9 Racing Métro 92 vs Paris -0.2-0.2+0.5 -0.2-0.2+0.5 Lyon vs La Rochelle +0.1+0.2-0.2 +0.1+0.2-0.2 -0.3+0.1+0.3 +0.2+0.1-0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 5/16 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* European Rugby Champions Cup Berth 100.0* Relegated to ProD2 100.0* Average seed Oyonnax vs Lyon -0.9+3.6+4.1 -0.9+3.6+4.1 -0.0+0.1+0.1 Grenoble vs Toulouse +1.2-0.9Out +1.2-0.9No -7.1-1.4+7.3 +0.9-0.1-0.9 Paris vs Montpellier +0.2-0.5-0.6 +0.2-0.5-0.6 +0.1-0.1-0.1 Bordeaux-Bègles vs Bayonne -0.1+0.0+0.3 -0.1+0.0+0.3 -1.6+3.1+3.8 +0.0-0.2+0.0 La Rochelle vs Racing Métro 92 +0.1-0.1-0.1 +0.1-0.1-0.1 +0.3*-0.0-0.4 -0.1+0.1+0.2 Castres vs Brive +2.3+1.6-5.0 +0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Grenoble finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed Relegated TP W - D - L playoffs European Rugby Champions Cup Berth 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 to ProD2 Count 52 3 - 0 - 0 10.1 % 10.1 % 0 10 56 29 5 0 No 3,912,397 50 2 - 1 - 0 0.8 0.8 0 1 10 37 45 7 No 1,195,420 48 2 - 0 - 1 Out No 2 18 43 32 5 No 11,999,612 1 - 2 - 0 Out No 2 18 44 32 5 No 121,321 46 1 - 1 - 1 Out No 24 52 23 2 No 2,435,188 0 - 3 - 0 Out No 22 52 25 1 No 4,214 44 1 - 0 - 2 Out No 2 25 55 16 1 1.3 % 12,171,457 0 - 2 - 1 Out No 2 25 55 17 1 1.3 123,034 42 0 - 1 - 2 Out No 23 51 26 25.8 1,231,123 40 0 - 0 - 3 Out No 6 38 56 56.0 4,081,622 Total: 1.1 % 1.1 % 0 1 7 10 18 22 23 11 7 7.4 % 37,275,388
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs