Castres Olympique Playoff Chances 2014-15
Lost to Toulon 21-37, playoff odds down 0.1 to 0%
47 points 10-0-14
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 100.0* | Relegated to ProD2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Toulon 37 Castres 21 | Out | No | +5.4 | -0.3 | ||||
| Montpellier 33 Bayonne 16 | -0.0 | -0.0 | -5.9 | +0.1 | ||||
| Bordeaux-Bègles 26 Oyonnax 23 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Toulouse 67 Brive 19 | -1.0 | +0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Grenoble vs Clermont | +1.1*-0.1-1.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Lyon vs La Rochelle | -0.6+0.6+0.6 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 100.0* | Relegated to ProD2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Castres vs Brive | -18.9+21.9+36.6 | +0.5-0.6-1.0 | ||||||
| Bordeaux-Bègles vs Bayonne | -7.3+14.3+17.5 | +0.1-0.3-0.3 | ||||||
| La Rochelle vs Racing Métro 92 | +0.8+0.8-1.4 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Grenoble vs Toulouse | +1.1*-0.1-1.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||||
| Oyonnax vs Lyon | -0.2-0.2+1.4 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Castres finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Relegated | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | to ProD2 | Count | |||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 24 | 49 | 25 | No | 4,870,453 | |||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | No | 4 | 38 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 0.7 | % | 1,517,445 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 39 | 46 | 8 | 7.6 | 20,373,860 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 39 | 45 | 8 | 7.7 | 85,441 | |||||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | No | 4 | 36 | 60 | 60.0 | 1,886,427 | ||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | No | 26 | 71 | 2 | 73.5 | 8,541,762 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 24 | 1 | 24.1 | % | 37,275,388 | ||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
