Union Bordeaux Bègles Playoff Chances 2014-15Beat Oyonnax 26-23, playoff odds up 6.8 to 16.8% 55 points 11-0-13 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 100.0* | Relegated to ProD2 | 100.0* | Average seed | Bordeaux-Bègles 26 Oyonnax 23 | +8.7 | | +8.7 | | -2.0 | | +0.8 | | Montpellier 33 Bayonne 16 | -0.6 | | -0.6 | | +0.3 | | -0.1 | | Toulouse 67 Brive 19 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | +0.1 | | Toulon 37 Castres 21 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.6 | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Racing Métro 92 vs Paris | -0.9-1.2+2.4 | | -0.9-1.2+2.4 | | | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Lyon vs La Rochelle | +0.9*-0.0-0.9 | | +0.9*-0.0-0.9 | | | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | Grenoble vs Clermont | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 100.0* | Relegated to ProD2 | 100.0* | Average seed | Oyonnax vs Lyon | -3.5+25.3+12.4 | | -3.5+25.3+12.4 | | | | -0.1+0.6+0.4 | | Bordeaux-Bègles vs Bayonne | +6.0-4.7-15.7 | | +6.0-4.7-15.7 | | | | +0.5-0.0-1.5 | | Paris vs Montpellier | +1.9+0.1-5.7 | | +1.9+0.1-5.7 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.3 | | La Rochelle vs Racing Métro 92 | +0.3-1.0-0.4 | | +0.3-1.0-0.4 | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | Grenoble vs Toulouse | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Clermont vs Toulon | -0.2-0.2+0.5 | | -0.2-0.2+0.5 | | | | | | Castres vs Brive | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bordeaux-Bègles finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Relegated | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | European Rugby Champions Cup Berth | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | to ProD2 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 83.7 | % | 83.7 | % | | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | No | 4,859,391 | | 50 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 57.7 | | 57.7 | | | | | | 3 | 55 | 32 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | No | 1,582,989 | | 48 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5.8 | | 5.8 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 51 | 13 | 1 | | | | | No | 21,717,149 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 5.9 | | 5.9 | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 51 | 13 | 1 | | | | | No | 85,632 | | 46 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1.4 | | 1.4 | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 45 | 34 | 4 | | | | | No | 1,820,430 | | 44 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 34 | 42 | 17 | 3 | | | No | 7,209,797 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 16.8 | % | 16.8 | % | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 37,275,388 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |