Ulster Playoff Chances 2017-18 50/50Lost to Zebre 23-27, playoff odds down 6.1 to 66.6% 19 points 4-0-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | ERCC | 100.0* | Average seed | Ulster vs Leinster | +9.7-4.9-9.2 | | +8.2-5.1-7.7 | | +0.4-0.2-0.4 | | Ospreys vs Dragons | +1.4+1.2-1.6 | | +0.1+1.0-0.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Treviso vs Edinburgh | *+0.0+2.6-0.2 | | -0.0+1.2-0.1 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Scarlets vs Blues | -1.4+1.1+1.3 | | *+0.0+0.9-0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Glasgow vs Kings | +0.6+0.5-0.6 | | -0.0+0.6-0.0 | | | | Zebre vs Cheetahs | | | -0.0+1.1-0.1 | | | | Connacht vs Munster | | | -0.1+0.9+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Ulster finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | ERCC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | 76 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | 60,390 | | 74 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | 6,747 | | 72 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | 76,351 | * | 70 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | 96,658 | * | 68 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | 561,890 | * | 66 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 638,407 | * | 64 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 2,180,215 | | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 353,165 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 2,583,661 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 6,544,060 | * | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1,305,086 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | Yes | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | 6,778,550 | | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | Yes | 75 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 405,328 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | Yes | 85 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | 14,389,065 | | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | Yes | 70 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 3,276,529 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 66 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 13,548,434 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.3 | | 100.0 | % | 45 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | 914,533 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 100.0 | | 61 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 23,980,133 | * | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 98.7 | | 100.0 | | 38 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 5,916,635 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 98.2 | | 100.0 | | 33 | 48 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 20,353,789 | * | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 91.0 | | 99.8 | | 15 | 43 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,445,556 | | 48 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 97.2 | | 100.0 | | 28 | 48 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 30,818,141 | * | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 87.3 | | 99.6 | | 11 | 39 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7,659,639 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 64.4 | | 91.2 | | 3 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 240,679 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 82.8 | | 99.2 | | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23,220,638 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 56.4 | | 85.1 | | 2 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1,712,957 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 77.8 | | 98.6 | | 6 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30,823,323 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 48.8 | | 78.3 | | 1 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 7,659,480 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 20.4 | | 28.6 | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 239,351 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 40.9 | | 69.2 | | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 20,329,168 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 15.1 | | 19.7 | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 1,468,436 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 33.7 | | 59.4 | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 23,972,276 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 10.8 | | 12.7 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 5,914,950 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 7.7 | | 8.1 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 3 | 13,554,776 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 1.3 | | 0.3 | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 914,318 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 5.2 | | 4.8 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 4 | 14,382,265 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.7 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 43 | 15 | 3,277,387 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.4 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 46 | 18 | 6,779,191 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 39 | 406,520 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.2 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 48 | 23 | 6,544,484 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 45 | 1,305,434 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 51 | 2,582,750 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 56 | 2,181,202 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 75 | 354,658 | * | 26 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 638,275 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 561,792 | * | 22 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | 96,536 | * | 20 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 77,132 | * | 18 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 6,822 | | 16 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 60,354 | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 66.6 | % | 75.4 | % | 26 | 22 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 313,198,116 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |