Scarlets Playoff Chances 2017-18
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 87.7%
21 points 4-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | ERCC | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Scarlets vs Blues | +2.4-6.8-7.5 | +1.6-4.0-5.1 | +0.1-0.3-0.4 | |||
| Ospreys vs Dragons | +1.0+0.9-1.4 | +0.2+0.5-0.4 | ||||
| Treviso vs Edinburgh | -0.4+1.9+0.4 | -0.1+0.7+0.0 | ||||
| Ulster vs Leinster | -0.1+0.9+0.0 | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Glasgow vs Kings | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Zebre vs Cheetahs | -0.2+0.6+0.1 | |||||
| Connacht vs Munster | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Scarlets finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | ERCC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Count | ||||
| 76 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 298,681 | ||||||||||
| 74 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 161,955 | |||||||||
| 72 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 1,613,396 | * | ||||||||
| 70 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 1,805,765 | * | ||||||||
| 68 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 0 | 8,209,768 | ||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 965,145 | * | ||||||||
| 66 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | 9,102,792 | * | |||||||
| 64 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | 26,657,008 | ||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | 4,399,630 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 26,057,599 | ||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1,305,211 | * | |||||||
| 60 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | Yes | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 58,329,706 | |||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 72 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 11,881,779 | * | |||||||
| 58 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | Yes | 68 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 51,695,358 | * | ||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 47 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3,121,450 | |||||||
| 56 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 100.0 | Yes | 64 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 91,029,407 | * | ||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.9 | 100.0 | % | 42 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21,273,934 | * | |||||
| 54 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 99.9 | 100.0 | 38 | 49 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 72,455,616 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 100.0 | 19 | 52 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 5,024,554 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 99.8 | 100.0 | 34 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 104,733,278 | * | |||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 98.2 | 100.0 | 16 | 51 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25,856,331 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 91.8 | 99.8 | 5 | 36 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 792,378 | * | |||||
| 50 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 97.4 | 100.0 | 13 | 49 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 74,243,360 | |||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 89.0 | 99.6 | 4 | 32 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5,533,246 | * | |||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 96.4 | 100.0 | 11 | 46 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 90,544,788 | |||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 86.2 | 99.4 | 3 | 28 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 23,294,911 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 64.5 | 92.7 | 0 | 11 | 53 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 756,662 | * | |||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 82.6 | 98.9 | 2 | 25 | 56 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56,436,690 | * | ||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 58.7 | 89.5 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4,315,577 | * | ||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 78.5 | 98.3 | 2 | 21 | 56 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 59,268,871 | |||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 52.6 | 85.5 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15,841,394 | * | ||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 47.7 | 82.4 | 0 | 5 | 42 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 32,007,358 | ||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 21.9 | 44.9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2,409,160 | * | ||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 42.0 | 77.6 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 29,402,032 | ||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 17.8 | 37.9 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 7,609,967 | * | ||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 14.7 | 32.5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 13,471,861 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 3.7 | 5.8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 47 | 23 | 0 | 956,225 | * | |||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 11.7 | 26.7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 10,968,496 | ||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 27 | 1 | 2,634,829 | * | |||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 32 | 1 | 4,411,228 | * | ||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 46 | 35 | 1 | 3,021,952 | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 57 | 6 | 641,314 | * | ||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 60 | 7 | 952,646 | * | |||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 10 | 697,668 | * | |||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 67 | 24 | 137,686 | * | ||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 89,293 | * | ||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 49 | 50 | 11,766 | * | |||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 1 | 47 | 53 | 6,623 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 27 | 73 | 441 | |||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 13 | 87 | 171,935 | ||||||||
| Total: | 87.7 | % | 94.5 | % | 34 | 30 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 966,608,720 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
