Munster Playoff Chances 2017-18 50/50
Beat Blues 39-16, playoff odds up 7.9 to 70.7%
19 points 4-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | ERCC | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Connacht vs Munster | -8.6-4.7+9.0 | -7.7-5.0+8.2 | -0.4-0.2+0.4 | |||
| Zebre vs Cheetahs | -0.1+2.4-0.1 | -0.1+1.1-0.0 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Ospreys vs Dragons | -1.2+1.0+1.1 | +0.1+1.1-0.2 | ||||
| Scarlets vs Blues | +1.1+1.0-1.2 | *+0.0+0.8-0.1 | ||||
| Glasgow vs Kings | -0.9+0.7+0.9 | -0.0+0.6-0.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Treviso vs Edinburgh | -0.0+1.1-0.1 | |||||
| Ulster vs Leinster | -0.0+0.8-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Munster finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | ERCC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Count | ||||
| 76 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 60,386 | ||||||||||
| 74 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 6,777 | |||||||||
| 72 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 76,503 | * | ||||||||
| 70 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 97,044 | * | ||||||||
| 68 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 561,901 | * | ||||||||
| 66 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | 639,423 | * | |||||||
| 64 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 2,179,697 | ||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 354,662 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 2,586,915 | * | |||||||
| 60 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | 6,543,586 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 87 | 13 | 0 | 1,305,969 | * | ||||||||
| 58 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 6,774,841 | ||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 72 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 405,931 | * | |||||||
| 56 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 100.0 | Yes | 83 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 14,386,813 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 100.0 | Yes | 68 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 3,277,258 | * | |||||||
| 54 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 100.0 | Yes | 65 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13,553,537 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 100.0 | % | 44 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 913,440 | * | |||||
| 52 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 99.9 | 100.0 | 61 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23,967,382 | * | |||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 99.3 | 100.0 | 39 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5,912,389 | * | |||||
| 50 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 99.0 | 100.0 | 35 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20,323,105 | |||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 94.1 | 99.8 | 16 | 48 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1,465,601 | * | |||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 98.6 | 100.0 | 31 | 51 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30,822,934 | * | ||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 91.9 | 99.7 | 13 | 45 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7,658,892 | |||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 73.3 | 92.1 | 3 | 26 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 238,418 | |||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 89.0 | 99.3 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23,227,865 | ||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 66.2 | 85.8 | 2 | 21 | 43 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1,710,812 | * | ||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 85.7 | 98.6 | 8 | 38 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30,829,241 | ||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 59.6 | 78.9 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7,662,542 | |||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 28.2 | 29.5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 239,549 | * | ||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 52.4 | 69.7 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 20,325,701 | ||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 21.9 | 20.3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1,463,662 | * | ||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 45.4 | 59.6 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 23,975,370 | ||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 16.4 | 13.0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 5,918,720 | * | ||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 12.4 | 8.2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 13,550,453 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 8 | 914,916 | * | ||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 14,389,602 | ||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 38 | 12 | 3,278,927 | * | ||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 6,780,078 | ||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 36 | 405,941 | * | ||||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 45 | 18 | 6,544,355 | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 1,305,460 | * | |||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 48 | 2,584,517 | * | ||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 52 | 2,182,136 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 354,146 | * | ||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 637,839 | * | ||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 562,741 | * | ||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 97,230 | * | ||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 75,814 | * | |||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 6,645 | |||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 60,450 | |||||||||
| Total: | 70.7 | % | 75.5 | % | 27 | 26 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 313,198,116 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
