Holy capitalism Batman, we’re in the Wall Street Journal |
Munster Playoff Chances 2017-18
Beat Blues 39-16, playoff odds up 4.2 to 94.2%
19 points 4-0-1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | ERCC | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Connacht vs Munster | -3.2-2.3+2.2 | -2.6-2.0+1.8 | -0.2-0.2+0.1 | |||
| Zebre vs Cheetahs | -0.6+1.3+0.6 | -0.1+0.4+0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Scarlets vs Blues | +0.1+0.1-0.5 | +0.0+0.2-0.1 | ||||
| Ospreys vs Dragons | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | +0.2+0.4-0.3 | ||||
| Glasgow vs Kings | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Treviso vs Edinburgh | -0.0+0.5-0.0 | |||||
| Ulster vs Leinster | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Munster finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | ERCC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Count | ||||
| 76 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 450,066 | |||||||||
| 74 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 333,131 | |||||||||
| 72 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 3,059,054 | * | ||||||||
| 70 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | 3,232,882 | * | |||||||
| 68 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 13,479,485 | ||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 83 | 17 | 0 | 1,628,863 | * | ||||||||
| 66 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 80 | 20 | 0 | 14,140,913 | * | |||||||
| 64 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 78 | 22 | 0 | 38,143,249 | ||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 62 | 38 | 0 | 6,461,842 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 59 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 35,309,514 | ||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 40 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 1,814,952 | * | |||||||
| 60 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | Yes | 56 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 72,962,625 | |||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 37 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 15,284,626 | * | |||||||
| 58 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 100.0 | Yes | 34 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 61,414,077 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | % | 18 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 3,862,185 | * | ||||||
| 56 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 31 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 100,209,561 | * | ||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 99.9 | Yes | 16 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 23,421,618 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.6 | 100.0 | 7 | 70 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 656,287 | |||||||
| 54 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 99.9 | 100.0 | 15 | 73 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 76,049,188 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.3 | 100.0 | 6 | 68 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 5,421,997 | * | ||||||
| 52 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 99.9 | 100.0 | 13 | 73 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 102,061,573 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 99.1 | 100.0 | 5 | 66 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 25,899,266 | * | ||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 96.0 | 99.7 | 1 | 49 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 811,306 | ||||||
| 50 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 98.7 | 100.0 | 4 | 63 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 69,175,523 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 94.6 | 99.4 | 1 | 45 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5,296,345 | * | |||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 98.3 | 100.0 | 3 | 60 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 78,570,456 | ||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 93.3 | 99.1 | 1 | 42 | 51 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20,777,971 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 80.7 | 90.5 | 0 | 22 | 58 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 693,261 | * | |||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 91.5 | 98.6 | 1 | 38 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 46,984,115 | |||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 76.8 | 87.1 | 0 | 19 | 57 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,693,054 | * | ||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 89.6 | 98.0 | 0 | 35 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 46,118,399 | |||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 72.4 | 82.8 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12,663,643 | * | ||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 69.0 | 79.8 | 0 | 14 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23,950,542 | ||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 42.3 | 40.6 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1,852,859 | * | ||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 64.5 | 75.1 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20,640,528 | ||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 37.0 | 34.2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 48 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5,490,925 | * | ||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 32.7 | 29.3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 50 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 9,129,244 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 665,557 | * | |||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 28.0 | 24.1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 51 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 6,992,146 | ||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 1,724,575 | * | |||||
| 34 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 2,724,733 | * | ||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 2,144,711 | * | ||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 538,692 | * | ||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 43 | 16 | 376,107 | * | ||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 40 | 71,895 | * | |||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 42 | 47 | 44,275 | * | ||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 5,773 | * | ||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 78 | 3,073 | * | ||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | 216 | |||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 171,842 | ||||||||
| Total: | 94.2 | % | 95.9 | % | 23 | 51 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 966,608,720 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
