Newport Gwent Dragons Playoff Chances 2017-18 50/50
Beat Kings 29-13, playoff odds up 7.4 to 30%
9 points 2-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/27 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | ERCC | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ospreys vs Dragons | -7.4-6.1+7.9 | -9.5-6.8+10.1 | -0.4-0.3+0.4 | |||
| Scarlets vs Blues | -1.5+1.1+1.4 | -0.1+1.0-0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Treviso vs Edinburgh | -0.0+2.2-0.2 | -0.0+1.3-0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Ulster vs Leinster | -0.1+2.2-0.1 | -0.1+1.0-0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
| Glasgow vs Kings | +0.5+0.4-0.5 | -0.1+0.7*-0.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Zebre vs Cheetahs | -0.0+1.3-0.1 | |||||
| Connacht vs Munster | -0.1+1.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dragons finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | ERCC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Count | ||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 60,368 | |||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 6,767 | |||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 76,385 | * | ||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | 96,722 | * | |||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 561,641 | * | |||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 637,713 | * | |||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,181,724 | ||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 72 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 354,314 | * | ||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 66 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,585,047 | * | |||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.8 | 100.0 | % | 62 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6,540,149 | * | ||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98.7 | 100.0 | 39 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,304,583 | * | |||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 97.9 | 100.0 | 34 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6,779,256 | |||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 90.3 | 99.9 | 14 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 405,440 | * | |||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 96.8 | 100.0 | 29 | 47 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14,386,557 | * | ||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 86.1 | 99.7 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,278,581 | * | ||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 82.1 | 99.6 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13,557,226 | ||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 55.0 | 90.8 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 916,340 | * | ||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 76.7 | 99.1 | 6 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23,976,066 | ||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 47.1 | 84.2 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5,914,501 | * | ||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 40.5 | 77.8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 20,323,520 | ||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 14.0 | 27.8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 1,464,534 | * | ||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 33.3 | 68.4 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 30,814,859 | ||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 10.5 | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 7,660,365 | |||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 35 | 6 | 240,235 | * | |||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 23,230,191 | ||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 9 | 1,709,566 | * | ||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 5.3 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 3 | 30,820,033 | ||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 43 | 11 | 7,663,026 | |||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 28 | 240,251 | * | ||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 46 | 14 | 20,334,215 | ||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 33 | 1,466,154 | * | ||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 49 | 18 | 23,973,051 | |||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 38 | 5,916,168 | * | |||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 13,549,707 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 63 | 914,969 | * | ||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 47 | 14,384,799 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 67 | 3,277,795 | * | ||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 28 | 71 | 6,782,826 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 15 | 84 | 405,873 | * | |||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 74 | 6,540,166 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 1,306,031 | * | |||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 2,585,913 | * | ||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 2,181,007 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 353,662 | * | ||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 638,628 | * | |||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 561,323 | * | |||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 96,362 | * | ||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 76,159 | * | ||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 6,888 | |||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 60,460 | |||||||||
| Total: | 30.0 | % | 40.5 | % | 6 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 313,198,116 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
