Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsERCCChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567Avg.ChangeRPI
Scarlets214-0-110068.1%+0.576.6%-0.42823181310632.8+0.046Scarlets
Ulster194-0-16066.6-6.175.4-5.62622181410632.9-0.271Ulster
Leinster194-0-15866.4+0.575.3-0.52622181410732.9+0.047Leinster
Edinburgh102-0-3-431.1+0.741.6-0.561114171919144.4+0.038Edinburgh
Dragons92-0-3-3530.0+7.440.5+7.761014171920144.5+0.4212Newport Gwent Dragons
Treviso92-0-3-4130.0+0.740.3-0.561014171920154.5+0.035Benetton Treviso
Kings00-0-5-1327.8-3.712.4-5.912581322495.9-0.2914Southern Kings

Top three teams from each Conference qualify for playoffs. Top seven teams (excluding the South African teams, Cheetahs & Kings) qualify for European Champions Cup.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/27
Ulster vs LeinsterIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets68.070.068.0
76.577.376.6
2.82.72.8
Ulster76.361.857.4
83.670.367.7
2.53.13.3
Leinster57.261.676.1
67.670.283.5
3.33.12.5
Edinburgh30.933.431.0
41.642.741.6
4.44.34.4
Dragons29.932.229.9
40.441.540.4
4.54.44.5
Treviso30.032.229.9
40.241.340.2
4.54.44.5
Kings7.78.77.7
12.313.0*12.4
Treviso vs EdinburghHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets68.070.567.9
76.577.776.5
2.82.72.8
Ulster*66.669.266.4
75.476.675.3
2.92.82.9
Leinster66.369.066.3
75.276.475.2
2.92.82.9
Edinburgh22.125.640.6
31.834.852.1
4.94.74.0
Dragons30.032.229.8
40.441.840.4
4.54.44.5
Treviso39.324.821.3
50.533.630.6
4.04.74.9
Kings7.78.67.7
12.413.112.4
5.95.85.9
Scarlets vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets76.162.260.6
84.671.769.1
2.53.13.2
Ulster65.267.768.0
*75.476.375.3
3.02.92.8
Leinster65.067.567.8
*75.376.175.2
3.02.92.8
Edinburgh29.532.232.5
41.642.741.6
4.54.44.4
Dragons28.531.131.5
40.441.540.4
4.54.44.4
Treviso28.531.131.4
40.241.340.2
4.64.54.4
Kings7.28.28.3
12.412.912.4
Ospreys vs DragonsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets69.569.366.5
76.777.676.4
2.82.82.9
Ulster68.167.865.1
75.576.575.2
2.92.93.0
Leinster67.967.664.9
75.476.475.1
2.82.93.0
Edinburgh32.432.229.7
41.742.941.4
4.44.44.5
Dragons22.623.938.0
31.033.750.6
4.84.84.1
Treviso31.331.028.7
40.441.540.0
4.44.44.6
Kings8.28.17.2
12.413.012.3
5.95.96.0
Glasgow vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets68.668.667.5
76.577.176.6
Ulster67.267.166.0
75.476.075.4
Leinster67.066.965.8
75.275.9*75.3
Edinburgh31.531.530.6
41.542.341.6
4.44.44.5
Dragons30.530.429.5
40.441.2*40.5
4.44.44.5
Treviso30.530.429.5
40.240.9*40.2
4.44.44.6
Kings4.75.011.1
7.68.417.6
6.26.15.7
Zebre vs CheetahsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets76.577.676.5
Ulster75.476.575.4
Leinster75.276.475.2
Edinburgh41.643.041.6
Dragons40.441.840.4
Treviso40.241.640.2
Kings12.413.112.3
Connacht vs MunsterHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Scarlets76.577.476.6
Ulster75.376.375.4
Leinster75.276.275.3
Edinburgh41.642.741.6
Dragons40.441.540.4
Treviso40.241.340.2
Kings12.313.0*12.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.