SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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we’re in the Wall Street Journal
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsERCCChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567Avg.ChangeRPI
Glasgow235-0-07183.8%-1.086.7%-0.345251485212.1-0.063Glasgow Warriors
Munster194-0-16570.7+7.975.5+8.1272619139522.8+0.342Munster
Cheetahs153-0-2-351.8-1.658.3-0.513192017141073.6-0.074Cheetahs
Zebre102-0-3-2534.0+5.840.9+7.471215181817144.3+0.3211Zebre
Connacht71-0-4-820.9-1.226.4-0.43711151822245.0-0.0513Connacht
Blues51-0-4-6019.4-8.624.9-8.43610141822265.1-0.439Cardiff Blues
Ospreys51-0-4-4619.4-1.225.3-0.43610151822265.1-0.0510Ospreys

Top three teams from each Conference qualify for playoffs. Top seven teams (excluding the South African teams, Cheetahs & Kings) qualify for European Champions Cup.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/27
Zebre vs CheetahsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow83.785.583.7
86.787.586.7
2.12.12.2
Munster70.673.270.6
75.476.675.5
2.82.72.8
Cheetahs41.346.362.7
48.551.868.7
4.03.83.1
Zebre44.128.724.3
51.234.231.2
3.94.64.8
Connacht21.123.220.5
26.427.626.3
5.04.95.0
Blues19.621.519.0
24.926.024.8
5.15.05.1
Ospreys19.621.619.0
25.326.425.2
5.15.05.1
Connacht vs MunsterHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow*83.885.183.6
86.787.3*86.7
2.12.12.2
Munster62.266.079.7
67.870.583.7
3.13.02.4
Cheetahs51.854.251.4
58.259.4*58.3
3.63.53.6
Zebre34.336.233.4
40.942.040.9
4.34.24.3
Connacht28.616.313.7
35.020.318.4
4.65.35.4
Blues19.621.119.1
24.825.824.8
5.15.05.1
Ospreys19.721.119.0
25.226.225.2
5.15.05.1
Ospreys vs DragonsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow82.984.584.6
86.887.586.6
Munster69.571.771.8
75.676.675.3
Cheetahs50.352.953.1
58.359.658.0
3.63.53.5
Zebre32.834.935.1
41.042.140.7
4.44.34.3
Connacht20.121.621.7
26.527.526.2
5.15.04.9
Blues18.620.120.2
25.025.824.7
5.25.05.0
Ospreys25.714.313.6
33.819.417.3
4.75.45.4
Scarlets vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow84.584.583.0
*86.787.486.7
Munster71.871.769.5
*75.576.375.4
Cheetahs53.152.950.3
*58.359.358.2
3.53.53.6
Zebre35.034.932.8
40.942.040.8
4.34.34.4
Connacht21.821.620.1
26.427.326.4
4.95.05.1
Blues13.714.425.7
17.119.033.2
5.45.44.7
Ospreys20.220.118.6
25.226.225.3
5.05.05.2
Glasgow vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow89.479.478.5
92.183.181.7
1.92.42.4
Munster69.871.471.6
75.576.175.5
2.82.72.7
Cheetahs50.652.652.8
58.259.058.2
3.63.53.5
Zebre32.834.835.0
40.841.6*40.9
Connacht20.121.621.7
26.427.026.4
Blues18.620.120.2
24.825.524.9
Ospreys18.620.120.2
25.225.925.3
Treviso vs EdinburghHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow*86.787.586.6
Munster75.576.675.4
Cheetahs58.259.658.2
Zebre40.842.240.8
Connacht26.427.626.4
Blues24.825.924.8
Ospreys25.226.425.2
Ulster vs LeinsterHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow86.787.286.7
Munster75.576.375.4
Cheetahs58.259.258.2
Zebre40.941.940.8
Connacht26.427.426.4
Blues24.825.724.9
Ospreys25.326.225.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)