SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsERCCChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Glasgow235-0-07199.2%-0.399.6%-0.17123510001.4-0.103.675Glasgow Warriors
Munster194-0-16594.2+4.295.9+4.123512051002.1+0.262.605Munster
Cheetahs153-0-2-375.3-3.579.4-1.952149175213.0-0.134.535Cheetahs
Zebre102-0-3-2520.7+8.733.8+13.9141640221264.4+0.6011.465Zebre
Blues51-0-4-604.2-7.27.4-10.5004142529285.6-0.579.395Cardiff Blues
Ospreys51-0-4-463.5-0.96.8-1.0003132628295.7-0.0110.395Ospreys
Connacht71-0-4-82.8-0.94.9-1.3002102129375.9-0.0513.395Connacht

Top three teams from each Conference qualify for playoffs. Top seven teams (excluding the South African teams, Cheetahs & Kings) qualify for European Champions Cup.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/27
Zebre vs CheetahsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow99.199.599.3
Munster93.695.594.8
95.896.496.1
2.12.02.1
Cheetahs66.674.786.3
72.876.287.9
3.33.12.8
Zebre29.016.410.8
42.626.023.4
4.14.64.7
Blues4.75.53.5
7.48.37.5
5.65.55.6
Ospreys3.94.72.9
6.77.66.9
5.75.65.6
Connacht3.13.82.4
4.95.65.0
5.95.85.8
Connacht vs MunsterHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow99.399.399.2
1.31.31.4
Munster91.091.996.4
93.393.997.7
2.32.32.0
Cheetahs75.176.475.3
79.279.879.4
3.03.03.1
Zebre21.722.220.0
33.734.433.7
4.44.34.3
Blues4.44.64.1
7.47.77.4
5.75.65.6
Ospreys3.73.83.4
6.87.06.8
5.75.65.6
Connacht4.91.91.6
8.33.23.0
5.66.06.0
Scarlets vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow99.399.399.2
Munster94.394.393.7
95.996.195.9
Cheetahs75.775.773.4
79.480.079.0
Zebre20.920.919.9
33.834.633.5
4.34.34.5
Blues3.33.47.9
5.76.314.2
5.75.75.2
Ospreys3.63.63.3
6.87.16.8
5.65.65.8
Connacht2.92.92.6
5.05.24.9
5.85.86.0
Ospreys vs DragonsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Munster94.094.494.4
96.196.395.7
Cheetahs74.576.076.1
80.080.778.5
Zebre20.421.121.1
34.735.532.4
4.44.34.3
Blues4.14.34.3
7.78.07.0
5.75.55.5
Ospreys5.01.91.8
9.94.03.2
5.45.95.9
Connacht2.82.92.9
5.25.44.6
5.95.85.8
Glasgow vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Glasgow99.598.498.1
99.799.098.8
1.31.51.5
Munster94.294.394.3
2.12.02.0
Cheetahs75.275.575.5
79.479.579.2
3.13.03.0
Zebre20.621.121.3
33.733.9*33.8
Blues4.24.34.3
Ospreys3.53.63.6
Connacht2.82.92.9
Treviso vs EdinburghHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Munster95.996.495.9
Cheetahs79.281.279.4
Zebre33.536.533.9
Blues7.38.47.5
Ospreys6.77.76.9
Connacht4.95.65.0
Ulster vs LeinsterHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*ERCC100.0*Average seed
Munster*95.996.195.9
Cheetahs79.379.879.4
Zebre33.734.4*33.8
Blues7.47.77.5
Ospreys6.87.06.8
Connacht4.95.14.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)