Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Quins286-0-0172InYes1001.01.950Harlequins
ASM Clermont286-0-0149InYes1002.01.950ASM Clermont Auvergne
Saracens235-0-1104In+0.0Yes+0.01003.0+1.063.800Saracens
Toulon235-0-1102InYes1004.0-1.003.800Toulon
Ulster235-0-171InYes1005.0-0.037.800Ulster Rugby
Tigers204-1-116In+51.4Yes+0.01006.0+2.576.725Leicester Tigers
Munster204-0-260In+47.9Yes+0.01007.0+1.449.650Munster Rugby
Montpellier215-0-159In+0.0Yes1008.0-0.983.800Montpellier
Toulouse194-0-248Out-99.2Yes+0.01009.0-2.038.650Toulouse
Leinster204-0-228Out-0.0Yes10010.0-0.5110.650Leinster Rugby
Biarritz153-0-322OutYes+0.010011.0-0.5111.500Biarritz Olympique Pays Basque
Ospreys122-1-3-4Out-0.0No-0.110012.0+0.4616.425Ospreys
Saints153-0-3-15OutNo10013.0+1.0011.500Northampton Saints
Castres143-0-3-21OutNo10014.0+1.0011.500Castres Olympique
Racing Métro123-0-3-22Out-0.0No-0.010015.0-2.4611.500Racing Métro 92
Glasgow61-0-5-35OutNo10016.019.200Glasgow Warriors
Blues61-0-5-41OutNo10017.019.200Cardiff Blues
Connacht123-0-3-42OutNo10018.011.500Connacht Rugby
Treviso51-0-5-60Out-0.0No-0.010019.018.200Benetton Treviso
Chiefs92-0-4-73OutNo10020.017.350Exeter Chiefs
Scarlets20-0-6-104OutNo10021.022.050Scarlets
Sharks41-0-5-120OutNo10022.0+1.0019.200Sale Sharks
Edinburgh00-0-6-142OutNo10023.0-1.0022.050Edinburgh Rugby
Zebre10-0-6-152OutNo10024.022.050Zebre

Teams above the green line enter the H-Cup playoffs.
Teams between the red lines parachute into the knockout stage of the European Challenge Cup (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/rugby/Europe/AmlinCup.html).
Stats are updated approximately once daily, usually around 9AM Eastern.
Let me know if things are wrong: matt dot grande at gmail dot com.

Last Updated: January 22, 2013 - 08:12:13

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/11
Saints 18 Castres 12
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Ulster+0.2
+1.1
Tigers+0.5
Munster+12.4
+0.2
Montpellier+8.2
+0.3
Toulouse+13.9
Leinster+9.0
+0.3
Biarritz+19.2
+0.3
Ospreys+4.9
+0.3
Saints+1.6
+1.6
+0.7
Castres-36.4
-36.4
-3.7
Racing Métro+1.3
Connacht+0.2
Edinburgh 17 Munster 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+5.8
Toulouse-2.8
Biarritz-3.0
EdinburghOut
Toulouse 35 Treviso 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Tigers-1.0
Munster-0.5
Toulouse+1.7
Biarritz-0.2
Ospreys 15 Tigers 15
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Tigers-1.5
+0.9
Munster*+0.5
Toulouse+0.6
Biarritz*+0.4
Ospreys-0.8
Ulster 23 Glasgow 6
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+0.4
Montpellier+0.3
Toulouse+0.5
Leinster+0.3
Biarritz+0.6
Ospreys+0.2
Saints-1.0
-1.0
Castres-0.2
-0.2
Sharks 6 Montpellier 27
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Tigers-0.2
Montpellier+0.5
SharksOut
Leinster 33 Scarlets 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Leinster+3.8
Biarritz-0.6
Ospreys-1.0
Racing Métro-2.2
Toulon 45 Blues 25
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
ToulonIn
Yes
Zebre 6 Biarritz 32
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Leinster-2.0
Biarritz+8.1
+0.2
Ospreys-2.0
Racing Métro-4.1
ZebreOut
No
Week of 1/18
Tigers 9 Toulouse 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
TigersIn
Yes
+2.6
Munster-50.5
-0.5
Toulouse-0.8
-1.0
LeinsterOut
-0.5
Biarritz-0.5
TrevisoOut
Montpellier 23 Toulon 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
ASM Clermont+0.6
Toulon-0.6
Munster-17.7
-0.4
Montpellier+17.8
Yes
+0.4
Saracens 40 Edinburgh 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SaracensIn
Yes
+0.1
Munster-0.7
MontpellierIn
Toulouse+0.7
LeinsterOut
Munster 29 Racing Métro 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Munster+0.5
Yes
Toulouse-0.5
Ospreys+0.3
Racing MétroOut
-0.3
TrevisoOut
Glasgow 27 Saints 20
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SaintsOut
No
Glasgow+0.3
+0.3
+0.9
Connacht-0.9
Treviso 17 Ospreys 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Biarritz-0.1
OspreysOut
-0.5
Racing Métro+0.5
Treviso+0.2
Blues 26 Sharks 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Blues+0.1
+0.1
Sharks-0.2
Edinburgh+0.2
Chiefs 20 Leinster 29
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Treviso+0.3
ChiefsOut
No
-0.3
Castres 8 Ulster 9
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CastresOut
No
Scarlets 0 ASM Clermont 29
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
ScarletsNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Matt Grande for adding this league.