European Rugby Champions Cup Playoff Chances 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	1/22		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	RPI

Leinster			23		4	-	1	-	1	140	In			100																				1.0	+0.57	5	Leinster
Wasps	W	Zebre 41-27	21		4	-	1	-	1	98	In		+24.6		100																			2.0	+5.19	4	Wasps
Munster			24		5	-	0	-	1	95	In					100																		3.0	-0.14	2	Munster
Saracens			24		5	-	1	-	0	94	In						100																	4.0	-0.13	1	Saracens
Clermont			25		5	-	0	-	1	80	In							100																5.0	-0.03	2	Clermont
Toulouse	W	Connacht 19-10	18		3	-	1	-	2	74	In		+32.2						50	50														6.5	+1.46	7	Toulouse
Glasgow			19		4	-	0	-	2	74	In								50	50														6.5	+0.04	8	Glasgow Warriors
Connacht	L	Toulouse 10-19	18		4	-	0	-	2	70	In		+28.0								100													8.0	-1.64	6	Connacht

Toulon			15		3	-	0	-	3	20	Out		-73.6									100												9.0	-0.91	9	Toulon
Bordeaux			14		3	-	0	-	3	-2	Out		-10.7										100											10.0	-0.72	11	Bordeaux Bègles
Castres			12		2	-	1	-	3	-3	Out													100										11.0	-0.71	13	Castres
Scarlets			11		2	-	1	-	3	-13	Out														100									12.0	-0.63	12	Scarlets
Montpellier			16		3	-	0	-	3	-29	Out															100								13.0	-0.50	10	Montpellier
Exeter			13		2	-	0	-	4	-36	Out																100							14.0	-0.44	14	Exeter Chiefs
Racing 92			5		1	-	0	-	5	-40	Out																	100						15.0	-0.41	19	Racing 92
Ulster			10		2	-	0	-	4	-42	Out																		100					16.0	-0.40	16	Ulster
Sale			4		1	-	0	-	5	-101	Out																			100				17.0	-0.02	18	Sale Sharks
Northampton			9		2	-	0	-	4	-108	Out																				100			18.0	+0.02	15	Northampton Saints
Leicester			8		2	-	0	-	4	-129	Out																					100		19.0	+0.13	16	Leicester Tigers
Zebre	L	Wasps 27-41	0		0	-	0	-	6	-242	Out		-0.4																				100	20.0	-0.73	20	Zebre

Week of 1/7
Glasgow 12 Munster 14
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Munster	In		+3.9
Glasgow	-33.8		-4.2

Racing 92 7 Munster 32
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Munster	+18.5		+2.6
Glasgow	-8.9		-0.8
Racing 92	-15.1		-2.1

Leinster 57 Montpellier 3
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leinster	In		+2.5
Montpellier	-23.4		-2.9

Racing 92 34 Leicester 3
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Racing 92	+14.4		+2.5
Leicester	-14.8		-2.5

Connacht 66 Zebre 21
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Connacht	+11.5		+2.2
Zebre	-3.8		-1.9

Week of 1/14
Wasps 17 Toulouse 14
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	+24.2		+2.7
Toulouse	-24.9		-3.3
Connacht	+11.2		+0.9

Leicester 0 Glasgow 43
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	-2.5
Toulouse	-2.0
Glasgow	+34.9		+3.1
Toulon	-2.8
Bordeaux	-2.5
Castres	-2.4
Scarlets	-2.3
Montpellier	-1.9
Exeter	-2.2
Racing 92	-2.0
Ulster	-2.0
Leicester	Out		-3.0

Exeter 31 Ulster 19
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Clermont	+6.0		+0.7
Exeter	+18.6		+2.6
Ulster	-20.5		-2.9

Castres 24 Leinster 24
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leinster			+0.2
Wasps	+1.4
Toulouse	+2.3
Glasgow	+2.7
Toulon	+2.1
Bordeaux	+2.1
Castres	-23.7		+0.2
Scarlets	+1.8

Bordeaux 6 Clermont 9
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Clermont	In		+2.7
Bordeaux	-22.4		-3.1

Toulon 27 Sale 12
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toulon	+22.1		+2.6
Sale	-12.9		-2.5

Northampton 28 Castres 21
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Castres	-20.5		-2.5
Northampton	+10.2		+2.3

Munster 22 Racing 92 11
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Munster			+1.0
Racing 92	-17.9		-3.2

Montpellier 26 Northampton 17
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Montpellier	+16.4		+3.4
Northampton	Out		-3.0

Scarlets 22 Saracens 22
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Glasgow	+0.7
Scarlets	-5.9		+0.1

Week of 1/21
Saracens 10 Toulon 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	+3.8
Munster			-0.5
Saracens			+1.3
Toulouse	+2.8
Glasgow	+10.8		+0.3
Connacht	+2.7
Toulon	-37.0		-3.2
Bordeaux	+3.9		+0.2
Scarlets	+3.4		+0.2
Exeter	+3.1		+0.2
Ulster	+3.3		+0.2

Toulouse 19 Connacht 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	-0.3		+1.1
Toulouse	In		+3.9
Connacht	-28.4		-4.7
Toulon	-2.8
Bordeaux	-0.7

Ulster 22 Bordeaux 26
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	-1.0
Toulouse	-0.8
Glasgow	-2.5
Connacht	-0.7
Toulon	-1.1
Bordeaux	+30.3		+3.8
Castres	-0.9
Scarlets	-0.9
Exeter	-0.9
Ulster	Out		-3.9

Sale 25 Scarlets 23
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	+2.0
Glasgow	+5.9		+0.2
Toulon	+2.1
Bordeaux	+2.1
Castres	+1.2		+0.3
Scarlets	-26.9		-3.8
Exeter	+1.6
Ulster	+1.8
Sale	+7.5		+3.3
Northampton			-0.3

Clermont 48 Exeter 26
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	+2.5
Clermont			+1.1
Glasgow	+7.4		+0.2
Toulon	+2.6		+0.2
Bordeaux	+2.6		+0.3
Castres	+1.3		+0.5
Scarlets	+2.2		+0.3
Montpellier			+0.4
Exeter	-25.4		-3.7
Ulster	+2.1		+0.2

Zebre 27 Wasps 41
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wasps	In		+3.4
Toulouse	-1.6		-1.1
Glasgow			-0.4
Toulon	-10.2		-0.3
Bordeaux	Out		-0.2
Zebre	Out		-0.7

European Rugby Champions Cup Playoff Chances 50/50

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