Week of 1/12 |
Dragons 34 Enisey 10 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | +0.4 | | | |
Edinburgh | +0.4 | | | |
Dragons | +24.2 | | +2.9 | |
Brive | +1.9 | | +0.3 | |
Lyon | +0.6 | | | |
Stade Français | +0.4 | | | |
Enisey | -32.4 | | -3.5 | |
Worcester | +1.8 | | +0.2 | |
Bristol | +0.4 | | | |
|
Brive 17 Worcester 14 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Brive | +23.6 | | +2.9 | |
Enisey | -8.7 | | -0.7 | |
Worcester | -19.8 | | -2.4 | |
|
Bristol 22 Bath 57 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Bath | +28.5 | | +3.0 | |
Bristol | -24.1 | | -2.9 | |
|
Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Harlequins | -12.1 | | -2.4 | |
Gloucester | -1.3 | | | |
Bath | -1.4 | | | |
La Rochelle | -0.8 | | | |
Edinburgh | +28.0 | | +3.1 | |
Dragons | -1.2 | | | |
Brive | -1.0 | | | |
Cardiff | -0.7 | | | |
Lyon | -1.7 | | | |
Stade Français | -0.4 | | | |
Worcester | -1.3 | | | |
Newcastle | -1.4 | | | |
Bristol | -1.3 | | | |
Pau | -0.7 | | | |
Bayonne | -0.7 | | | |
Treviso | -0.8 | | | |
|
Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | +24.4 | | +2.6 | |
La Rochelle | -3.7 | | -0.5 | |
Treviso | -15.1 | | -2.4 | |
|
Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | -6.6 | | -0.8 | |
La Rochelle | +22.5 | | +2.5 | |
Bayonne | -8.1 | | -2.0 | |
Treviso | -3.4 | | -0.2 | |
|
Pau 21 Cardiff 22 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | -0.5 | | | |
Bath | -4.5 | | -0.5 | |
Cardiff | +18.0 | | +2.3 | |
Lyon | -0.7 | | | |
Stade Français | -0.5 | | | |
Worcester | -0.5 | | | |
Bristol | -0.9 | | | |
Pau | -7.1 | | -2.0 | |
|
Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | +1.6 | | | |
Gloucester | +1.2 | | | |
Bath | +1.2 | | | |
Edinburgh | +1.4 | | | |
Dragons | +1.1 | | | |
Brive | +0.9 | | | |
Lyon | +1.5 | | | |
Stade Français | +1.3 | | | |
Worcester | +1.2 | | | |
Newcastle | -17.2 | | -2.3 | |
Bristol | +1.1 | | | |
Treviso | +0.8 | | | |
Grenoble | | | +0.7 | |
|
Ospreys vs LyonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | InIn93.7 | | 1.21.53.4 | |
La Rochelle | 76.2*73.270.8 | | 6.76.86.9 | |
Lyon | 23.446.672.3 | | 11.69.46.7 | |
|
Saracens vs Stade FrançaisHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Edinburgh | 80.981.057.6 | | 5.35.37.0 | |
Stade Français | 9.622.955.3 | | 13.411.08.0 | |
Saracens | | | 18.019.119.6 | |
|
Week of 1/19 |
Brive vs DragonsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Dragons | 2.020.6In | | 12.49.53.9 | |
Brive | In*50.30.0 | | 4.48.414.3 | |
Enisey | 19.449.719.6 | | 11.89.711.6 | |
|
Cardiff vs BristolHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Bath | 65.765.4In | | 6.36.43.7 | |
Cardiff | 89.768.37.3 | | 5.56.711.8 | |
Bristol | OutOut23.9 | | 15.413.210.3 | |
|
Edinburgh vs SaracensHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Harlequins | 91.491.694.0 | | 6.64.44.3 | |
La Rochelle | 70.172.076.9 | | 7.06.86.6 | |
Edinburgh | In87.038.5 | | 3.16.09.1 | |
Cardiff | 45.847.051.5 | | 8.88.78.5 | |
Lyon | 45.046.450.8 | | 9.39.29.0 | |
Stade Français | 28.429.336.4 | | 11.311.310.2 | |
Enisey | 16.618.222.8 | | 11.911.811.6 | |
Worcester | 13.915.619.7 | | 12.212.112.0 | |
Saracens | | | 19.519.118.0 | |
|
Stade Français vs HarlequinsHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Harlequins | 85.3In100.0 | | 7.14.23.8 | |
La Rochelle | 70.674.476.4 | | 6.96.86.7 | |
Edinburgh | 77.859.561.1 | | 5.56.96.8 | |
Cardiff | 45.949.651.4 | | 8.88.78.5 | |
Lyon | 45.348.750.4 | | 9.39.19.0 | |
Stade Français | 54.226.110.7 | | 8.111.013.3 | |
Enisey | 17.020.822.4 | | 12.011.711.5 | |
Worcester | 14.317.619.3 | | 12.312.111.9 | |
|
Worcester vs EniseyHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
La Rochelle | 73.878.373.1 | | 6.86.76.8 | |
Enisey | 0.00.539.7 | | 14.511.19.0 | |
Worcester | 33.8OutOut | | 9.312.514.8 | |
|
La Rochelle vs TrevisoHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | 76.776.9In | | 5.65.53.2 | |
La Rochelle | 99.496.447.2 | | 4.55.39.1 | |
Treviso | OutOut2.1 | | 17.816.614.1 | |
|
Lyon vs GrenobleHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | 93.893.7In | | 2.92.91.7 | |
La Rochelle | 70.8*73.676.2 | | 6.96.86.7 | |
Lyon | 72.350.823.4 | | 6.88.311.6 | |
Grenoble | OutOut0.1 | | 19.719.518.7 | |
|
Bath vs PauHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Bath | In89.565.4 | | 2.95.87.2 | |
Cardiff | 43.354.253.8 | | 9.67.67.8 | |
Pau | OutOut3.7 | | 17.415.813.2 | |
|
Newcastle vs OspreysHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | 93.799.5In | | 3.42.71.2 | |
Newcastle | 28.1OutOut | | 9.812.414.8 | |
|
Gloucester vs BayonneHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | In97.976.4 | | 2.35.16.5 | |
La Rochelle | 73.374.473.7 | | 7.85.75.8 | |
Bayonne | OutOut3.1 | | 17.516.113.5 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.