SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Benetton Treviso Playoff Chances 2016-17

Lost to Gloucester 0-41, playoff odds down 3.1 to 0.1%

8 points 2-0-3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 1/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Treviso 0 Gloucester 41	-2.4		-0.8
Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23	-0.5
Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27	+0.2		+0.2
Bristol 22 Bath 57	-0.1		+0.0
Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24			+0.0
Dragons 34 Enisey 10			-0.0
Pau 21 Cardiff 22			+0.0
Brive 17 Worcester 14			+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ospreys vs Lyon	+0.0-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
La Rochelle vs Treviso	OutOut+0.6		-0.3+0.1+1.5
Lyon vs Grenoble	-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cardiff vs Bristol			+0.0-0.1-0.1
Newcastle vs Ospreys			-0.1-0.1+0.0
Bath vs Pau			+0.0-0.3-0.3
Edinburgh vs Saracens			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Worcester vs Enisey			-0.0-0.1+0.0
Gloucester vs Bayonne			+0.0-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Treviso finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

12		1	-	0	-	0	0.7	%						0	0	1	2	3	2	3	4	8	16	25	24	12	0		2,945,032
10		0	-	1	-	0	Out													0	0	1	7	26	42	23	0		132,276
8		0	-	0	-	1	Out												0	0	0	0	4	17	35	40	3	1	15,866,852

Total:							0.1	%						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	18	33	36	3	1	18,944,160

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs