Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | D | - | L | GD | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Avg. | Change | RPI | Strength | ||||
| Edinburgh | 19 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 47 | 97.6 | % | +30.0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | +2.97 | 3 | .750 | Edinburgh | ||
| Harlequins | 18 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 127 | 94.3 | -1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | -2.56 | 14 | .583 | Harlequins | ||||||||
| Stade Français | 11 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 6 | 23.6 | +0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.2 | +0.40 | 8 | .500 | Stade Français | ||
| Saracens | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | -180 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 55 | 19.5 | -0.19 | 18 | .117 | Timișoara Saracens | ||||||||
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 1/12 | ||||
| Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | +30.2 | +3.5 | ||
| Harlequins | -6.5 | -2.9 | ||
| Stade Français | -1.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | -1.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Harlequins | -0.3 | |||
| Stade Français | -1.0 | |||
| Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | +1.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Harlequins | +0.2 | |||
| Stade Français | +0.7 | +0.2 | ||
| Saracens | -0.2 | |||
| Bristol 22 Bath 57 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | -0.6 | |||
| Harlequins | -0.1 | |||
| Stade Français | -0.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Pau 21 Cardiff 22 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | -0.2 | |||
| Stade Français | -0.1 | |||
| Brive 17 Worcester 14 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | -0.1 | |||
| Stade Français | -0.1 | |||
| Dragons 34 Enisey 10 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | -0.1 | |||
| Stade Français | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24 | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | -0.1 | |||
| Saracens vs Stade FrançaisIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 98.999.097.4 | 3.83.83.9 | ||
| Harlequins | 95.394.694.1 | |||
| Stade Français | 7.210.326.6 | 12.110.89.9 | ||
| Saracens | 0.20.00.0 | 19.019.319.6 | ||
| Ospreys vs LyonHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 97.7*97.697.3 | 3.93.93.8 | ||
| Harlequins | 94.7*94.392.9 | 6.46.46.6 | ||
| Stade Français | 24.723.119.6 | 10.210.310.4 | ||
| Week of 1/19 | ||||
| Edinburgh vs SaracensIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | In87.039.5 | 3.76.19.2 | ||
| Harlequins | 94.2*94.396.3 | 6.54.54.4 | ||
| Stade Français | 22.524.051.4 | 10.310.38.1 | ||
| Saracens | 0.00.00.7 | 19.519.318.8 | ||
| Stade Français vs HarlequinsHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 97.597.897.7 | |||
| Harlequins | 88.7100.0100.0 | 6.86.16.0 | ||
| Stade Français | 36.515.610.4 | 9.110.211.4 | ||
| Cardiff vs BristolHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 97.698.098.0 | |||
| Harlequins | 94.195.595.4 | |||
| Stade Français | 22.927.026.9 | 10.310.210.2 | ||
| Lyon vs GrenobleHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 97.697.898.0 | |||
| Harlequins | 94.195.295.4 | 6.46.46.3 | ||
| Stade Français | 23.026.026.8 | 10.310.210.0 | ||
| Saracens | 19.419.619.7 | |||
| La Rochelle vs TrevisoHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 97.6*97.697.8 | |||
| Harlequins | 94.1*94.495.4 | 6.46.36.3 | ||
| Stade Français | 23.0*23.626.8 | 10.310.210.1 | ||
| Gloucester vs BayonneHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 3.93.93.8 | |||
| Harlequins | 94.3*94.595.1 | 6.46.36.3 | ||
| Stade Français | 23.5*23.526.1 | |||
| Newcastle vs OspreysHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 97.5*97.697.7 | 3.83.83.9 | ||
| Harlequins | 93.993.994.4 | 6.56.56.4 | ||
| Stade Français | 22.322.923.9 | 10.410.310.2 | ||
| Worcester vs EniseyHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Harlequins | 94.494.894.3 | |||
| Stade Français | 23.724.923.5 | 10.210.110.2 | ||
| Brive vs DragonsHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | 3.83.84.0 | |||
| Stade Français | 23.524.423.6 | 10.310.410.1 | ||
| Bath vs PauHomeDrawAway | ||||
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Edinburgh | *97.697.297.4 | 3.93.53.5 | ||
| Stade Français | 10.210.310.3 | |||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
