SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Hurt
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Bath184-0-16498.5%+40.83214327400110000000003.2+4.771.750Bath
Cardiff184-0-13340.3-44.80001131024331841111000008.8-3.695.750Cardiff Blues
Bristol102-0-3-271.4-11.600111151731256650014.2-2.2415.417Bristol
Pau20-0-5-700.1-0.1000000015203416212016.3+0.7019.083Pau

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/12
Bristol 22 Bath 57
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath+17.0
+1.2
Cardiff-3.7
-0.3
Bristol-9.0
-1.1
Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath-3.8
-0.1
Cardiff-0.9
+0.1
Bristol-1.1
-0.1
Pau 21 Cardiff 22
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath-1.2
-0.1
Cardiff+2.9
+0.3
Bristol-0.3
-0.0
Pau-0.1
-0.1
Treviso 0 Gloucester 41
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath-1.5
-0.0
Cardiff-0.3
Bristol-0.4
Pau+0.1
Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath+1.5
+0.1
Cardiff+0.4
Bristol+0.4
+0.2
Brive 17 Worcester 14
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath-0.1
Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath-0.1
Pau+0.0
Dragons 34 Enisey 10
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardiff+0.0
Bristol-0.1
Pau-0.0
Ospreys vs LyonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.6*98.498.0
3.33.33.1
Cardiff43.933.628.0
8.78.99.0
Bristol1.51.30.8
14.214.314.3
Saracens vs Stade FrançaisHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.798.698.5
Cardiff45.644.439.4
8.68.78.8
Bristol1.61.71.3
14.114.214.2
Week of 1/19
Bath vs PauIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BathIn66.648.9
3.17.68.6
Cardiff38.885.586.1
8.94.94.9
Bristol14.214.314.5
PauOutOut2.2
16.315.514.3
Cardiff vs BristolHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.2*98.5In
3.33.23.1
Cardiff46.020.410.5
8.49.110.6
BristolOutOut8.9
14.613.812.2
Pau16.316.416.4
Lyon vs GrenobleHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.498.898.8
Cardiff38.244.652.7
8.88.78.5
Bristol1.31.71.9
14.214.214.1
Edinburgh vs SaracensHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.598.899.0
3.23.43.5
Cardiff39.942.949.9
8.88.68.5
Bristol1.41.51.9
La Rochelle vs TrevisoHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.4*98.498.7
Cardiff38.9*40.048.1
8.88.88.6
Bristol1.3*1.41.7
14.214.214.4
Pau16.216.316.6
Stade Français vs HarlequinsHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.4*98.598.6
Cardiff37.441.743.4
8.98.88.7
Bristol1.2*1.41.5
14.314.314.1
Gloucester vs BayonneHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath3.23.23.1
Cardiff40.2*40.646.5
8.88.88.6
Bristol14.214.314.4
Pau16.316.416.6
Worcester vs EniseyHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardiff40.844.740.2
8.88.68.8
Bristol1.41.61.4
14.214.514.2
Pau16.316.416.3
Newcastle vs OspreysHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath98.4*98.498.5
3.13.23.3
Cardiff37.3*40.141.1
8.98.88.8
Bristol1.2*1.31.4
14.514.514.1
Pau16.416.416.3
Brive vs DragonsHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath3.23.23.3
Cardiff40.343.4*40.4
8.88.78.8
Bristol14.314.414.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)