SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Brive143-0-2-760.5%+24.6013552001615554221008.0+2.0310.583Brive
Dragons133-0-22739.4+23.4034527000617168443100008.6+3.1412.583Newport Gwent Dragons
Enisey133-0-2-710.1-62.20000003781732214331110010.9-4.319.583Enisey-STM
Worcester71-0-4-132.4-2.801223722301394430013.0+0.6417.250Worcester Warriors

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/12
Dragons 34 Enisey 10
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive+15.6
+1.2
Dragons+16.4
+1.9
Enisey-32.2
-2.9
Worcester+0.7
+0.0
Brive 17 Worcester 14
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive+8.7
+1.0
Enisey-4.8
-0.4
Worcester-3.3
-0.6
Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive-1.5
-0.1
Dragons-1.2
-0.1
Enisey-0.7
Worcester-0.7
-0.1
Treviso 0 Gloucester 41
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive-0.6
Dragons-0.5
Enisey-0.3
Worcester-0.2
+0.1
Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive+0.4
+0.2
Dragons+0.4
+0.2
Enisey+0.2
+0.1
Worcester+0.2
+0.2
Bristol 22 Bath 57
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive-0.3
Dragons-0.2
+0.0
Enisey-0.1
Worcester-0.1
+0.0
Pau 21 Cardiff 22
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive-0.1
Dragons-0.1
Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Worcester+0.0
Ospreys vs LyonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons39.4*39.039.1
8.68.78.7
Enisey10.99.87.5
10.911.011.1
Worcester2.6*2.31.7
13.013.113.1
Saracens vs Stade FrançaisHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive7.9*8.08.0
Dragons8.58.68.7
Enisey11.210.99.9
10.710.911.0
Worcester2.72.62.3
12.813.013.1
Week of 1/19
Brive vs DragonsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BriveIn23.50.0
4.810.213.0
Dragons0.71.5In
11.310.14.4
Enisey9.676.59.7
11.16.710.7
Worcester13.113.312.9
Worcester vs EniseyHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive61.060.960.4
7.98.08.0
Dragons8.68.58.6
Enisey0.00.013.2
12.811.210.4
Worcester10.6OutOut
11.212.513.6
Edinburgh vs SaracensHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons39.3*39.440.5
8.68.78.6
Enisey10.011.713.5
10.910.910.7
Worcester2.42.93.3
13.013.012.9
Cardiff vs BristolHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive8.08.08.1
Dragons39.2*39.140.5
8.68.78.6
Enisey9.712.212.3
Worcester2.33.03.0
13.013.113.2
La Rochelle vs TrevisoHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons39.2*39.240.1
Enisey9.710.412.4
Worcester2.3*2.53.0
13.013.113.1
Lyon vs GrenobleHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons39.3*39.439.8
8.78.68.5
Enisey9.711.712.3
11.010.910.7
Worcester2.32.83.0
13.113.012.9
Gloucester vs BayonneHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Enisey10.1*10.211.9
Worcester2.4*2.42.9
13.013.113.2
Bath vs PauHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons8.68.68.5
Enisey*10.18.210.3
Worcester13.013.113.2
Stade Français vs HarlequinsHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dragons39.2*39.539.5
8.78.68.6
Enisey9.6*10.210.7
11.111.010.8
Worcester2.3*2.42.5
13.113.112.9
Newcastle vs OspreysHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brive8.18.08.0
Dragons8.88.68.6
Enisey9.39.810.3
11.210.910.9
Worcester2.2*2.32.5
13.313.113.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)