"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pau 21 Cardiff 22 -0.1
-0.1
Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 +0.1
Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24 +0.0
Dragons 34 Enisey 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bath vs PauOutOut+2.1
-0.1+0.8+2.0
Newcastle vs Ospreys-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cardiff vs Bristol+0.0-0.1-0.1
Edinburgh vs Saracens+0.0-0.0-0.1
La Rochelle vs Treviso+0.1-0.0-0.3
Gloucester vs Bayonne+0.0-0.1-0.4
Worcester vs Enisey-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Pau finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234567891011121314151617181920Count
41-0-02.2%1013444613293320472,058
20-1-0Out0019355140133,264
00-0-1Out00015203417222018,338,838
Total:0.1%000000015203416212018,944,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs