Newcastle Falcons Playoff Chances 2016-17
Lost to Grenoble 27-31, playoff odds down 10.8 to 1.7%
11 points 2-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27 | -10.1 | -2.0 | ||
| Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23 | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 | -0.7 | |||
| Bristol 22 Bath 57 | -0.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Pau 21 Cardiff 22 | -0.1 | |||
| Dragons 34 Enisey 10 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Ospreys vs Lyon | +0.1*-0.1-0.4 | +0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Saracens vs Stade Français | +0.2+0.2-0.0 | +0.2+0.0-0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Newcastle vs Ospreys | +7.1OutOut | +1.8+0.5-0.5 | ||
| Edinburgh vs Saracens | -0.0+0.4+0.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Cardiff vs Bristol | -0.1+0.5+0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||
| La Rochelle vs Treviso | -0.1*-0.0+0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Lyon vs Grenoble | -0.1+0.3+0.4 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Gloucester vs Bayonne | -0.0*-0.0+0.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Stade Français vs Harlequins | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Bath vs Pau | +0.0-0.1-0.2 | |||
| Brive vs Dragons | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | |||
| Worcester vs Enisey | -0.0-0.3+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Newcastle finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Count | |||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 8.8 | % | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,720,299 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 4 | 22 | 44 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 132,503 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15,091,358 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 1.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18,944,160 | ||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
