Cardiff Blues Playoff Chances 2016-17
Beat Pau 22-21, playoff odds down 44.8 to 40.3%
18 points 4-0-1
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bristol 22 Bath 57 | -3.7 | -0.3 | ||
| Pau 21 Cardiff 22 | +2.9 | +0.3 | ||
| Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23 | -0.9 | +0.1 | ||
| Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27 | +0.4 | |||
| Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 | -0.3 | |||
| Dragons 34 Enisey 10 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Ospreys vs Lyon | +3.6-6.8-12.3 | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Saracens vs Stade Français | +5.2+4.1-1.0 | +0.2+0.1-0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bath vs Pau | -1.5+45.1+45.7 | -0.1+3.9+3.9 | ||
| Cardiff vs Bristol | +5.7-20.0-29.8 | +0.3-0.3-1.9 | ||
| Lyon vs Grenoble | -2.2+4.2+12.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.3 | ||
| Edinburgh vs Saracens | -0.4+2.5+9.6 | -0.0+0.1+0.3 | ||
| La Rochelle vs Treviso | -1.4*-0.3+7.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | ||
| Gloucester vs Bayonne | -0.2*+0.3+6.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | ||
| Stade Français vs Harlequins | -3.0+1.4+3.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Worcester vs Enisey | +0.5+4.4-0.2 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| Newcastle vs Ospreys | -3.1*-0.2+0.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||
| Brive vs Dragons | -0.1+3.0*+0.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cardiff finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Count | |||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 46.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15,869,047 | |||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 20.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 132,249 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,942,864 | ||||||||
| Total: | 40.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18,944,160 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
