Bath Playoff Chances 2016-17
Beat Bristol 57-22, playoff odds up 40.8 to 98.5%
18 points 4-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bristol 22 Bath 57 | +17.0 | +1.2 | ||
| Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23 | -3.8 | -0.1 | ||
| Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 | -1.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27 | +1.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Pau 21 Cardiff 22 | -1.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Brive 17 Worcester 14 | -0.1 | |||
| Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Ospreys vs Lyon | +0.1*-0.1-0.5 | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Saracens vs Stade Français | +0.2+0.2-0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 1/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bath vs Pau | In-31.9-49.6 | +0.2-4.4-5.4 | ||
| Cardiff vs Bristol | -0.3*+0.0In | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Edinburgh vs Saracens | -0.0+0.3+0.5 | +0.0-0.2-0.2 | ||
| Lyon vs Grenoble | -0.1+0.3+0.4 | |||
| La Rochelle vs Treviso | -0.0*-0.1+0.3 | |||
| Stade Français vs Harlequins | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Newcastle vs Ospreys | -0.1*-0.1+0.0 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Worcester vs Enisey | +0.0+0.1*-0.0 | |||
| Gloucester vs Bayonne | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Brive vs Dragons | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Bath finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Count | |||
| 20 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 22 | 44 | 27 | 4 | 18,338,838 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 66.6 | % | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 133,264 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 48.9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 472,058 | |||||
| Total: | 98.5 | % | 3 | 21 | 43 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18,944,160 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
