Week of 1/12 |
Dragons 34 Enisey 10 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Brive | +15.6 | | +1.2 | |
Dragons | +16.4 | | +1.9 | |
Enisey | -32.2 | | -2.9 | |
Worcester | +0.7 | | | |
|
Harlequins 18 Edinburgh 23 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | -4.1 | | -0.2 | |
Bath | -3.8 | | | |
Edinburgh | +30.2 | | +3.5 | |
Harlequins | -6.5 | | -2.9 | |
La Rochelle | -0.9 | | +0.2 | |
Brive | -1.5 | | | |
Cardiff | -0.9 | | | |
Lyon | -4.6 | | -0.2 | |
Dragons | -1.2 | | | |
Stade Français | -1.9 | | | |
Enisey | -0.7 | | | |
Worcester | -0.7 | | | |
Newcastle | -1.8 | | | |
Bristol | -1.1 | | | |
|
Bristol 22 Bath 57 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | -0.8 | | | |
Bath | +17.0 | | +1.2 | |
Edinburgh | -0.6 | | | |
Cardiff | -3.7 | | -0.3 | |
Lyon | -1.0 | | | |
Stade Français | -0.5 | | | |
Bristol | -9.0 | | -1.1 | |
|
Treviso 0 Gloucester 41 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | +14.9 | | +1.1 | |
Bath | -1.5 | | | |
Edinburgh | -1.7 | | | |
La Rochelle | -2.9 | | -0.4 | |
Brive | -0.6 | | | |
Lyon | -1.9 | | | |
Dragons | -0.5 | | | |
Stade Français | -1.0 | | | |
Newcastle | -0.7 | | | |
Bristol | -0.4 | | | |
Treviso | -2.4 | | -0.8 | |
|
Grenoble 31 Newcastle 27 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | +1.7 | | | |
Bath | +1.5 | | | |
Edinburgh | +1.4 | | | |
Lyon | +1.8 | | | |
Dragons | | | +0.2 | |
Worcester | | | +0.2 | |
Newcastle | -10.1 | | -2.0 | |
Bristol | | | +0.2 | |
Saracens | | | -0.2 | |
Grenoble | | | +0.5 | |
|
Brive 17 Worcester 14 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Brive | +8.7 | | +1.0 | |
Enisey | -4.8 | | -0.4 | |
Worcester | -3.3 | | -0.6 | |
|
Pau 21 Cardiff 22 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | -0.2 | | | |
Bath | -1.2 | | -0.1 | |
Edinburgh | -0.2 | | | |
Cardiff | +2.9 | | +0.3 | |
Lyon | -0.3 | | | |
Bristol | -0.3 | | | |
Pau | | | -0.1 | |
|
Bayonne 14 La Rochelle 24 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | -0.9 | | -0.2 | |
La Rochelle | +1.7 | | +0.3 | |
Bayonne | | | -0.1 | |
|
Ospreys vs LyonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | InIn97.8 | | 1.11.12.3 | |
La Rochelle | 92.1*90.886.1 | | 7.27.27.4 | |
Cardiff | 43.933.628.0 | | 8.78.99.0 | |
Lyon | 31.748.169.9 | | 9.88.77.2 | |
Stade Français | 24.723.119.6 | | 10.210.310.4 | |
|
Saracens vs Stade FrançaisHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Cardiff | 45.644.439.4 | | 8.68.78.8 | |
Lyon | 44.743.939.4 | | 9.09.19.2 | |
Stade Français | 7.210.326.6 | | 12.110.89.9 | |
|
Week of 1/19 |
Brive vs DragonsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Brive | In23.50.0 | | 4.810.213.0 | |
Dragons | 0.71.5In | | 11.310.14.4 | |
Enisey | 9.676.59.7 | | 11.16.710.7 | |
|
Edinburgh vs SaracensHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Edinburgh | In87.039.5 | | 3.76.19.2 | |
Harlequins | 94.2*94.396.3 | | 6.54.54.4 | |
Cardiff | 39.942.949.9 | | 8.88.68.5 | |
Lyon | 39.942.647.3 | | 9.29.18.9 | |
Stade Français | 22.524.051.4 | | 10.310.38.1 | |
|
Bath vs PauHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Bath | In66.648.9 | | 3.17.68.6 | |
Cardiff | 38.885.586.1 | | 8.94.94.9 | |
Lyon | 40.331.238.1 | | 9.29.49.3 | |
Pau | OutOut2.2 | | 16.315.514.3 | |
|
Cardiff vs BristolHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Bath | 98.2*98.5In | | 3.33.23.1 | |
Cardiff | 46.020.410.5 | | 8.49.110.6 | |
Lyon | 38.649.948.6 | | 9.29.09.1 | |
Bristol | OutOut8.9 | | 14.613.812.2 | |
|
Lyon vs GrenobleHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | 99.499.5In | | 1.41.41.1 | |
Cardiff | 38.244.652.7 | | 8.88.78.5 | |
Lyon | 44.827.314.6 | | 8.99.611.1 | |
Grenoble | OutOut0.2 | | 19.519.318.9 | |
|
La Rochelle vs TrevisoHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | 99.299.3In | | 2.62.62.5 | |
La Rochelle | 95.291.666.9 | | 7.07.48.4 | |
Cardiff | 38.9*40.048.1 | | 8.88.88.6 | |
Lyon | 39.239.745.9 | | 9.29.29.1 | |
Treviso | OutOut0.7 | | 17.216.815.5 | |
|
Stade Français vs HarlequinsHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Harlequins | 88.7100.0100.0 | | 6.86.16.0 | |
Cardiff | 37.441.743.4 | | 8.98.88.7 | |
Lyon | 37.741.042.7 | | 9.39.29.1 | |
Stade Français | 36.515.610.4 | | 9.110.211.4 | |
|
Gloucester vs BayonneHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Gloucester | In94.875.2 | | 2.46.67.6 | |
La Rochelle | 90.794.894.8 | | 7.33.53.5 | |
Cardiff | 40.2*40.646.5 | | 8.88.88.6 | |
Bayonne | OutOut2.2 | | 16.716.114.7 | |
|
Worcester vs EniseyHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Enisey | 0.00.013.2 | | 12.811.210.4 | |
Worcester | 10.6OutOut | | 11.212.513.6 | |
|
Newcastle vs OspreysHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
Ospreys | 97.5*99.5In | | 2.42.11.1 | |
Lyon | 43.244.939.4 | | 8.68.59.4 | |
Newcastle | 8.8OutOut | | 11.613.013.9 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.