Stewarts & Lloyds Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Lost to Leicester Forest 15-19, title odds down 4.2 to 8.6%
6 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Leicester Forest 19 Stewarts & Lloyds 15 | -4.4 | -6.7 | +3.7 | -0.7 | ||||
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | |||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | |||||
| Northampton Old 36 Oakham 25 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | +3.3-0.9-3.3 | +5.7-1.3-5.6 | -4.4*+0.0+4.4 | +0.7-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.4+0.1+0.4 | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | |||||
| Olney vs Northampton Old | +0.1+0.3-0.1 | +0.1+0.4-0.1 | ||||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Stewarts & Lloyds finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 80 | -84 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 33,338 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 18 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 2,140 | * | |||||||||||||
| 76 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 14,366 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 74 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 18,903 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 88,675 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.3 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 109,807 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 68 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 98.5 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 389,323 | * | ||||||||||||
| 66 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 96.2 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 442,066 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 93.1 | 99.9 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,284,817 | * | ||||||||||||
| 62 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 85.0 | 99.5 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,342,602 | * | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 77.1 | 98.7 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,558,063 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 73.6 | 98.1 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 0 | No | 733,205 | * | |||||||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 58.0 | 94.2 | 58 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,157,589 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 44.3 | 87.9 | 44 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,114,902 | |||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 38.8 | 84.6 | 39 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,593,580 | * | |||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 20.8 | 66.7 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,903,597 | * | |||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 10.6 | 48.3 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,306,504 | ||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 7.6 | 40.8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,735,660 | * | ||||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 1.6 | 16.8 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,086,170 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 1.2 | 14.5 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 797,777 | * | |||||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,076,003 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,772,206 | * | ||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,886,351 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 999,022 | * | ||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 12,174,713 | ||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 4,192,739 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 9,888,208 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1,000,409 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 11,080,064 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 3,767,454 | * | |||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 5.4 | 8,089,986 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6.3 | 799,709 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 15.9 | 8,305,976 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 2 | 21.2 | 2,737,479 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 10 | 47.9 | 5,391,468 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 50.5 | 509,323 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 46 | 20 | 65.9 | 5,116,193 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 25 | 71.5 | 1,593,587 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 88.0 | 3,157,659 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 93.9 | 2,554,689 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 62 | 95.5 | 731,969 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 77 | 98.7 | 1,342,113 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 15 | 85 | 99.5 | 1,283,148 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 93 | 99.9 | 443,102 | * | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 390,049 | * | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 109,230 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 88,085 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 18,966 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 14,068 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | -10 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 35,428 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 8.6 | % | 17.7 | % | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 12.6 | % | 153,262,480 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
