Olney Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Beat Market Harborough 24-19, title odds up 2.3 to 12.9%
8 points 2-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | +3.7 | +6.0 | -4.4 | +0.7 | ||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Northampton Old 36 Oakham 25 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Leicester Forest 19 Stewarts & Lloyds 15 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Olney vs Northampton Old | +4.8-0.8-4.7 | +7.3-1.1-7.2 | -3.2-0.2+3.2 | +0.7-0.0-0.7 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.5+0.2+0.5 | -0.6+0.2+0.6 | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.2+0.3-0.2 | +0.2+0.3-0.2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | +0.0+0.3-0.0 | *+0.0+0.5-0.0 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.3+0.4+0.2 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Peterborough vs Market Harborough | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | *+0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Olney finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 82 | -88 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 35,381 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 14,186 | * | |||||||||||||
| 78 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 18,761 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 76 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 88,342 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 74 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 109,096 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.4 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 388,540 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 98.6 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 443,283 | * | ||||||||||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 96.9 | 100.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,284,359 | * | |||||||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 93.4 | 99.9 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,344,882 | * | ||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 87.6 | 99.7 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,559,199 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 86.0 | 99.6 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | No | 732,684 | * | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 77.0 | 98.7 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,158,552 | * | |||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 63.4 | 95.9 | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,110,726 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 59.9 | 94.9 | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,593,428 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 44.5 | 88.1 | 45 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,393,140 | |||||||||||
| 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 39.6 | 85.1 | 40 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 508,703 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 26.1 | 73.2 | 26 | 47 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,308,894 | |||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 22.4 | 68.7 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,735,572 | * | |||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 10.6 | 48.4 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,093,697 | ||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 7.8 | 41.5 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 797,796 | * | ||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 2.7 | 23.0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,069,245 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 1.8 | 18.1 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,768,780 | * | |||||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,883,901 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 999,710 | * | ||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,180,803 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,192,587 | * | |||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 9,884,097 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 999,382 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 11,075,311 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3,771,274 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 8,090,370 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 799,088 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3.3 | 8,305,858 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 5.2 | 2,737,067 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 17.4 | 5,902,564 | * | ||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 41.3 | 5,116,490 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 10 | 47.9 | 1,591,223 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 67.8 | 3,158,432 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 40 | 85.1 | 2,557,150 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 45 | 88.2 | 733,129 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 59 | 94.6 | 1,343,207 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 98.4 | 1,283,631 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.6 | 444,174 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 99.9 | 389,705 | * | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 109,372 | * | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 88,195 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 19,079 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 14,039 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,042 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | -12 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 33,354 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 12.9 | % | 24.7 | % | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 8.4 | % | 153,262,480 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
