Northampton Old Scouts Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Beat Oakham 36-25, title odds up 4.5 to 17.3%
10 points 2-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Northampton Old 36 Oakham 25 | +4.4 | +6.8 | -3.7 | +0.7 | ||||
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | |||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Leicester Forest 19 Stewarts & Lloyds 15 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Olney vs Northampton Old | -5.6-1.1+5.7 | -7.9-1.2+8.0 | +2.5-0.1-2.5 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.6+0.1+0.6 | -0.6+0.1+0.6 | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.3+0.3-0.3 | +0.3+0.3-0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | -0.0+0.4-0.0 | -0.0+0.5-0.0 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Northampton Old finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 84 | -88 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 33,388 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 18 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 2,108 | * | |||||||||||||
| 80 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 14,239 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 78 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 19,005 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 76 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 88,309 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 74 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 109,053 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 389,549 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.3 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 443,688 | * | ||||||||||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 98.7 | 100.0 | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,284,087 | * | |||||||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 96.4 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,343,763 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 93.5 | 99.9 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,288,198 | * | ||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 85.7 | 99.6 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,157,298 | * | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 77.8 | 98.8 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,114,048 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 75.2 | 98.4 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,594,050 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 59.1 | 94.6 | 59 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,896,991 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 44.9 | 88.3 | 45 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,310,318 | |||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 40.7 | 85.8 | 41 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,735,409 | * | |||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 21.6 | 67.6 | 22 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,087,886 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 20.5 | 66.2 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 797,983 | * | |||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 10.7 | 48.5 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,076,388 | ||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 8.1 | 42.3 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,769,915 | * | ||||||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 1.6 | 16.9 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,881,604 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 997,079 | * | |||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,189,957 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,188,657 | * | ||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,886,642 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,001,095 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 11,074,509 | ||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,771,111 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 8,086,515 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 800,369 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 8,307,669 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2,739,836 | * | |||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 5,901,614 | * | |||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 17.8 | 5,113,170 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 22.7 | 1,594,231 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 50.3 | 3,159,411 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 46 | 22 | 68.4 | 2,558,209 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 26 | 73.4 | 733,389 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 46 | 89.1 | 1,341,934 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | 95.0 | 1,283,273 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 98.9 | 443,043 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 86 | 99.6 | 388,147 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 99.9 | 109,043 | * | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 87,688 | * | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 19,049 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 14,095 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,144 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | -12 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 1,498 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 20 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 31,826 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.3 | % | 31.1 | % | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5.9 | % | 153,262,480 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
