Northampton Old Scouts Title Chances 2014-2015
Beat Oakham 36-25, title odds up 5.9 to 24.6%
10 points 2-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Northampton Old 36 Oakham 25 | +3.8 | +5.5 | -1.3 | +0.4 | ||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -0.2 | |||||
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | |||||
| Leicester Forest 19 Stewarts & Lloyds 15 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Dunstablians 13 Biggleswade 31 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Olney vs Northampton Old | -5.2+1.7+11.0 | -6.4+2.5+13.5 | +0.2-0.2-0.5 | -0.3+0.2+0.7 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.7+0.8+2.1 | -0.7+0.8+2.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.9+0.4-1.4 | +0.8+0.4-1.2 | ||||||
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | +0.1+0.3-0.2 | +0.1+0.5-0.2 | ||||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | -0.3+0.4+0.6 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Northampton Old finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 84 | -88 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 114,877 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 18 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 25,165 | * | |||||||||||||
| 80 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 164,152 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 78 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 213,844 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 76 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 942,271 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 74 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 1,104,540 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.4 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,695,542 | * | ||||||||||||
| 70 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 98.0 | 100.0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,924,376 | * | |||||||||||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 96.4 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 8,474,635 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 95.9 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,074,154 | ||||||||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 90.7 | 99.9 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,163,485 | * | ||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 85.5 | 99.6 | 85 | 14 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,701,189 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 83.7 | 99.5 | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 5,076,489 | * | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 70.7 | 97.8 | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,286,251 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 70.6 | 97.8 | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,601,190 | * | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 59.7 | 95.1 | 60 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 28,982,753 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 56.0 | 93.8 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,064,483 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 36.9 | 83.7 | 37 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 27,446,595 | |||||||||||
| 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 36.0 | 83.1 | 36 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,598,852 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 24.4 | 71.9 | 24 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,012,289 | * | ||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 20.6 | 67.2 | 21 | 47 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,932,759 | |||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 8.3 | 43.4 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,373,210 | ||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 7.6 | 41.5 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,229,352 | * | ||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 3.3 | 26.3 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,691,002 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 2.2 | 20.8 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 13,321,784 | * | |||||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 30,263,926 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,098,832 | * | |||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,056,504 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,197,206 | * | ||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,521,856 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,317,625 | * | ||||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 21,338,631 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 7,406,265 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 14,682,971 | * | ||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 11,402,129 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 3,853,959 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1.6 | 6,874,873 | * | |||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 6.5 | 6,427,944 | * | ||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 3 | 25.8 | 2,524,414 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 8 | 43.3 | 2,135,133 | * | |||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 24 | 71.6 | 716,800 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 83.6 | 548,519 | * | |||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | 95.0 | 154,645 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | 97.7 | 106,839 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 86 | 99.6 | 24,438 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 9 | 91 | 99.9 | 15,168 | * | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 4 | 96 | Yes | 2,631 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 99.9 | 1,463 | * | |||||||||||||
| 10 | -14 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 278 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 20 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 95,144 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 24.6 | % | 43.7 | % | 25 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | % | 458,983,432 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
