Market Harborough Title Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Olney 19-24, title odds down 1.9 to 0.3%
1 points 0-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -1.2 | -2.8 | +8.6 | -0.8 | ||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.9 | |||||
| Dunstablians 13 Biggleswade 31 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Peterborough vs Market Harborough | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | -0.5+0.0+1.0 | +6.0-3.4-12.6 | -0.4+0.2+0.8 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.8+1.0+2.4 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | +0.3-0.1-0.5 | ||||||
| Olney vs Northampton Old | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.6+0.7+1.3 | |||||||
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Market Harborough finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 80 | 20 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 95,144 | ||||||||||||||
| 76 | -78 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 84 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 18 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.4 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 174 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.1 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 1,502 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 98.0 | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 2,596 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 68 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 95.1 | 99.9 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 15,202 | * | ||||||||||||
| 66 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 90.7 | 99.9 | 91 | 9 | 0 | No | 24,363 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 82.2 | 99.3 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 107,304 | * | ||||||||||||
| 62 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 69.6 | 97.4 | 70 | 28 | 3 | 0 | No | 154,834 | * | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 52.6 | 92.3 | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 547,950 | * | |||||||||||
| 58 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 33.7 | 80.9 | 34 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 717,729 | * | ||||||||||
| 56 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 17.2 | 61.7 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,133,583 | * | ||||||||||
| 54 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 6.2 | 36.8 | 6 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,525,265 | * | |||||||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 1.4 | 15.3 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,432,244 | * | ||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.1 | 3.6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,875,663 | * | |||||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,400,407 | ||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,853,197 | * | ||||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 14,689,388 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 21,332,677 | ||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 7,409,141 | * | |||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 22,528,627 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,317,347 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 32,049,001 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 11,190,940 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2.8 | 30,264,188 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3.5 | 3,097,164 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 10.8 | 38,695,832 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 13.1 | 13,320,293 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 30.4 | 32,384,189 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 33.2 | 3,230,086 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 40 | 11 | 50.5 | 37,497,108 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 42 | 13 | 54.8 | 12,449,071 | * | ||||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 49 | 25 | 73.9 | 27,440,201 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 49 | 27 | 76.2 | 2,599,092 | * | |||||||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 86.0 | 28,975,048 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 88.2 | 9,068,221 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 59 | 95.2 | 19,881,439 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 98.0 | 17,701,013 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 98.5 | 5,076,529 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 15 | 85 | 99.6 | 10,161,281 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 99.9 | 10,552,519 | * | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 3,922,841 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 3,695,609 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 1,104,819 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 943,560 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 212,849 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 165,808 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 25,324 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 17,634 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | -2 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 97,352 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.3 | % | 1.1 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 37.2 | % | 458,983,432 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
