Lutterworth Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Beat Peterborough 26-7, title odds up 2.5 to 8.6%
6 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lutterworth 26 Peterborough 7 | +2.5 | +4.5 | -6.0 | +0.7 | ||||
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Northampton Old 36 Oakham 25 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | -3.3-0.9+3.3 | -5.7-1.3+5.8 | +4.4+0.1-4.5 | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | -0.5+0.1+0.4 | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | |||||
| Olney vs Northampton Old | +0.0+0.3-0.1 | +0.0+0.4-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | +0.2+0.2-0.2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Peterborough vs Market Harborough | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lutterworth finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 78 | -84 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 35,386 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 14,002 | * | |||||||||||||
| 74 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 19,049 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.8 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 88,094 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.3 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 109,005 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 68 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 98.6 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 389,559 | * | ||||||||||||
| 66 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 96.1 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 442,620 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 93.1 | 99.9 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 1,284,373 | * | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 85.0 | 99.5 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,342,679 | * | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 77.2 | 98.7 | 77 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,557,530 | ||||||||||||
| 13 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 73.5 | 98.1 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 732,373 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 58.2 | 94.3 | 58 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,157,145 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 44.6 | 88.1 | 45 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,115,599 | ||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 38.9 | 84.7 | 39 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,592,610 | * | |||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 21.0 | 66.9 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,901,100 | * | |||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 10.7 | 48.7 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,309,799 | ||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 7.6 | 40.9 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,735,600 | * | ||||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 1.6 | 16.9 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,090,333 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 1.2 | 14.5 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 798,724 | * | |||||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,075,559 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,768,330 | * | ||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,887,483 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 999,659 | * | |||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,362,804 | * | |||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 4,007,804 | |||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 9,881,668 | ||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 998,887 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 11,073,518 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 3,767,281 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 5.3 | 8,085,853 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6.3 | 800,183 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 15.7 | 8,310,216 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 19 | 2 | 21.1 | 2,736,933 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 10 | 47.9 | 5,901,959 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 46 | 20 | 65.6 | 5,115,298 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 24 | 71.4 | 1,594,007 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 88.0 | 3,161,756 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 57 | 93.9 | 2,557,467 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 62 | 95.5 | 732,588 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | 98.7 | 1,344,148 | * | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 15 | 85 | 99.5 | 1,285,746 | * | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 93 | 99.9 | 442,755 | * | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 389,020 | * | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 109,749 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 87,976 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 18,972 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 13,861 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 2,059 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,413 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | -6 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 31,948 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 8.6 | % | 17.7 | % | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 12.6 | % | 153,262,480 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
