Lutterworth Title Chances 2014-2015
Beat Peterborough 26-7, title odds up 1.6 to 4.4%
6 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lutterworth 26 Peterborough 7 | +0.8 | +1.7 | -5.0 | +0.4 | ||||
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.8 | |||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.9 | |||||
| Dunstablians 13 Biggleswade 31 | -0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | -1.4+0.1+3.0 | -3.0+0.4+6.3 | +1.7-1.0-3.6 | -0.4+0.2+0.9 | ||||
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.2+0.2+0.5 | -0.3+0.3+1.0 | -0.2+0.2+0.7 | |||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | +0.3+0.2-0.5 | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | |||||
| Olney vs Northampton Old | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | +0.0+0.3-0.1 | ||||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | -0.2*-0.0+0.4 | |||||
| Peterborough vs Market Harborough | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lutterworth finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 80 | -84 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 96,975 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 18 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 2,647 | * | |||||||||||||
| 76 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.9 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 19,847 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 74 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 29,599 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 72 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.3 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 150,866 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 97.7 | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 203,260 | * | ||||||||||||
| 68 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 95.7 | 100.0 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 780,452 | * | |||||||||||||
| 66 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 89.8 | 99.8 | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 955,870 | * | ||||||||||||
| 64 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 83.2 | 99.4 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,961,447 | * | ||||||||||||
| 62 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 68.2 | 97.2 | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,287,846 | * | |||||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 55.2 | 93.3 | 55 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,508,680 | * | |||||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 33.4 | 80.6 | 33 | 47 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,561,878 | * | ||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 21.3 | 67.6 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 14,659,110 | * | ||||||||||
| 12 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 16.9 | 61.3 | 17 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,318,891 | |||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 6.6 | 38.2 | 7 | 32 | 41 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,262,364 | * | |||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 2.6 | 22.2 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,107,989 | |||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 1.5 | 16.5 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,227,875 | * | |||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 0.2 | 4.9 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 24,928,369 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.1 | 3.9 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,450,256 | * | |||||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 34,806,889 | ||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,768,004 | * | ||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,265,134 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,139,452 | * | ||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,780,306 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 13,254,347 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 31,254,724 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3,138,059 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 34,797,431 | |||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 11,763,335 | * | |||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 24,919,682 | ||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 2,445,371 | * | ||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4.3 | 25,112,355 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 6.2 | 8,225,067 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 20.9 | 17,265,945 | * | |||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 35.4 | 14,484,333 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 41.4 | 4,491,541 | * | ||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 46 | 20 | 65.7 | 8,563,055 | * | ||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 48 | 31 | 79.0 | 8,510,885 | * | ||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 54 | 93.0 | 3,284,023 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 66 | 96.7 | 2,961,091 | * | |||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 99.3 | 956,075 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.8 | 779,640 | * | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 202,721 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 150,480 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 29,822 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 19,881 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,667 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,571 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 19 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 126 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 20 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 95,199 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.4 | % | 11.1 | % | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7.2 | % | 458,983,432 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
