Dunstablians Title Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Biggleswade 13-31, title odds down 2 to 0.2%
0 points 0-0-2
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dunstablians 13 Biggleswade 31 | -1.2 | -2.9 | +11.1 | -0.9 | ||||
| Oadby Wyggeston 18 Wellingborough 29 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.9 | |||||
| Market Harborough 19 Olney 24 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.8 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/27 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | At least playoff place | 100.0* | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wellingborough vs Dunstablians | -0.1*-0.0+0.4 | -0.3+0.1+1.1 | +4.0-3.6-12.2 | -0.2+0.2+0.8 | ||||
| Biggleswade vs Leicester Forest | +0.3*+0.0-0.5 | |||||||
| Olney vs Northampton Old | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| Oakham vs Oadby Wyggeston | -0.5*+0.0+1.4 | |||||||
| Stewarts & Lloyds vs Lutterworth | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Peterborough vs Market Harborough | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dunstablians finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | At least | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | playoff place | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Down to Midlands 3 East (South) | Count | |||||
| 76 | -80 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 95,236 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 18 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.3 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 148 | * | |||||||||||||
| 72 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.2 | Yes | 99 | 1 | No | 1,291 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 70 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 97.6 | Yes | 98 | 2 | No | 2,352 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 68 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 94.8 | 99.9 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 13,782 | * | ||||||||||||
| 66 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 89.0 | 99.8 | 89 | 11 | 0 | No | 21,755 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 79.3 | 99.0 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 95,751 | * | ||||||||||||
| 62 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 64.9 | 96.5 | 65 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 140,515 | * | |||||||||||
| 60 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 46.9 | 89.6 | 47 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 499,900 | * | |||||||||||
| 58 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 28.0 | 75.5 | 28 | 48 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 657,267 | * | ||||||||||
| 56 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 12.7 | 53.3 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,967,292 | * | |||||||||
| 54 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 3.9 | 28.3 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,340,944 | * | |||||||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,995,903 | * | ||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,461,136 | * | |||||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,778,160 | |||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,651,033 | * | |||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 14,014,094 | * | ||||
| 44 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 20,474,484 | |||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 7,127,124 | * | ||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 21,806,675 | |||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 2,250,061 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 31,257,787 | ||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 10,947,900 | * | ||||||||
| 38 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 | 29,806,220 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 8.5 | 3,063,925 | * | |||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 19.8 | 38,381,444 | |||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 43 | 21 | 3 | 24.2 | 13,253,168 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 41.1 | 32,450,569 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 9 | 46.9 | 3,241,017 | * | ||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 46 | 18 | 64.4 | 37,867,124 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 48 | 21 | 68.8 | 12,612,565 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 33 | 81.4 | 28,014,780 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 47 | 37 | 84.6 | 2,660,357 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 51 | 92.3 | 29,829,233 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 55 | 93.8 | 9,356,897 | * | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 97.1 | 20,681,415 | * | |||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 99.2 | 18,580,858 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 99.4 | 5,343,105 | * | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.8 | 10,788,342 | * | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 9,008,769 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 2,297,427 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 4,250,816 | * | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 4,043,427 | * | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 1,221,104 | * | |||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,053,479 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 240,580 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 188,695 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 29,196 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 20,592 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | -2 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 97,738 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.2 | % | 0.8 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 24 | 43.5 | % | 458,983,432 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:37 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
