How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| South Africa 46 Samoa 6 | +2.5 | -0.2 | ||
| Scotland 39 United States 16 | -1.8 | -0.0 | ||
| Week of 10/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Samoa 5 Japan 26 | +33.1 | +0.8 | ||
| South Africa 34 Scotland 16 | -21.1 | -0.2 | ||
| South Africa 64 United States 0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | ||
| Week of 10/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Samoa 33 Scotland 36 | Out | -0.2 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Japan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Count | |||||
| 8 | -12 | Out | 100 | 2,833,757,760 | * | ||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | 100 | 2,833,757,760 | ||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Week of 9/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| South Africa 46 Samoa 6 | +0.2 | |
| Scotland 39 United States 16 | +0.0 | |
| Italy 23 Canada 18 | +0.0 | |
| Australia 65 Uruguay 3 | +0.0 | |
| Wales 23 Fiji 13 | +0.0 | |
| France 41 Canada 18 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 10/2 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Samoa 5 Japan 26 | -2.3 | |
| South Africa 34 Scotland 16 | +0.2 | |
| New Zealand 43 Georgia 10 | -0.1 | |
| England 13 Australia 33 | -0.1 | |
| South Africa 64 United States 0 | +0.1 | |
| Week of 10/9 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Samoa 33 Scotland 36 | +0.2 | |
| England 60 Uruguay 3 | +0.0 | |
| New Zealand 47 Tonga 9 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| United States vs Japan | +1.6+0.8-0.2 | |
| Argentina vs Namibia | +0.1-0.0-0.8 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | |||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 50 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 5 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Wednesday, 2015-10-14 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
