"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Play-in100.0*Average seed
Charge 1 Dragons 3 +8.8
+5.3
+0.8
Shock 4 Spitfire 0 +1.8
+0.1
Valiant 2 Spark 3 -1.8
+0.5
Spark 4 Mayhem 0 -1.7
-0.1
Valiant 4 Spitfire 0 +1.6
-0.4
Gladiators 4 Defiant 0 -1.3
+0.6
Dynasty 3 Hunters 0 -1.3
+0.6
Dynasty 3 Eternal 1 -1.2
+0.4
Fusion 3 Uprising 2 -1.1
+0.3
Titans 4 Gladiators 0 +1.1
+0.1
Excelsior 3 Fuel 2 +0.5
+0.5
+0.1
Hunters 3 Shock 2 -0.2
-0.6
Defiant 1 Outlaws 3 +0.1
+0.2
Justice 0 Outlaws 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 7/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Play-in100.0*Average seed
Dragons vs Fusion+12.1-12.1
+2.4-2.4
+0.8-0.8
Dragons vs Charge+10.2-10.2
+2.6-2.6
+0.7-0.7
Justice vs Fusion+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Charge vs Justice-0.3+0.3
Reign vs Mayhem-0.3+0.3
Defiant vs Excelsior-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Dragons finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LplayoffsPlay-in1234567891011121314151617181920Count
209-0InYes00663301,908,370
198-1100.0%Yes276580016,153,218
187-299.6Yes45336600064,599,058
176-387.3Yes014403311200150,770,200
165-436.6Yes018283721400226,089,655
154-52.9100.0%0031639347000226,100,511
143-60.099.6001732381840000150,729,333
132-7Out74.6003132831186100064,609,760
121-8Out10.400028203025123016,153,183
110-9Out0.1000141633341301,908,632
Total:33.0%96.4%001711131516159532110000919,021,920
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs