SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Toronto Defiant Playoff Chances 2019S1 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.02%

1-4 .200

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 4/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Defiant 0 Shock 4	-8.2		-1.8
Fusion 1 Excelsior 3	+0.5		+0.1
Gladiators 3 Mayhem 1	-0.3		+0.1
Fuel 0 Titans 4	-0.1
Uprising 0 Titans 4			+0.1
Shock 4 Spark 0			+0.1
Mayhem 1 Dragons 3			+0.1
Dynasty 4 Fuel 0			-0.1

Week of 4/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fuel 3 Outlaws 1	-0.1		+0.1
Eternal 2 Spark 3	-0.1		+0.1
Spitfire 1 Hunters 3	-0.1		-0.1
Spitfire 4 Eternal 0	+0.1		+0.1
Dynasty 4 Outlaws 0			+0.1
Valiant 2 Dynasty 3			+0.1
Hunters 1 Spark 3			-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spark vs Dynasty	+0.0Out
Valiant vs Hunters	+0.0Out		-0.2+0.2
Titans vs Dynasty	+0.0Out
Shock vs Fusion	+0.0Out
Titans vs Defiant	Out+0.0		-1.4+1.4
Eternal vs Defiant	Out+0.0		-1.5+1.5
Justice vs Dragons	+0.0Out		-0.1+0.1
Shock vs Dragons	+0.0Out
Gladiators vs Uprising			+0.2-0.2
Excelsior vs Reign			+0.2-0.2
Outlaws vs Spitfire			-0.1+0.1
Mayhem vs Fuel			-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Defiant finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

3		2	-	0	0.1	%								0	1	5	14	30	31	15	3						2,278,850,015
2		1	-	1	Out													0	4	13	26	36	18	3			4,555,459,233
1		0	-	2	Out																	3	20	40	30	7	2,278,796,512

Total:					0.0	%								0	0	1	4	8	10	10	14	19	14	11	8	2	9,113,105,760

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs