"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Monday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
PAOK FCwin title61.3%+23.7Panionios 0 - 2 PAOKGreece Super League Playoffs
Panathinaikos FCwin title36.5+13.9Panathinaikos 3 - 0 AEKGreece Super League Playoffs
IK Oddevoldrelegated10.7-9.7IK Oddevold 3 - 1 QvidingDiv 1 Södra
Kyle O'Reillywin title33.5+9.5Kyle O'Reilly 15 - 11 GedoBoSJ
Ryusuke Taguchiwin title33.5+9.5Ryusuke Taguchi 15 - 9 David FinlayBoSJ
Malmö FFwin title41.1+9.0Malmö 2 - 0 FalkenbergAllsvenskan
Åtvidabergs FFrelegated4.1-8.4Åtvidaberg 4 - 0 AFC UnitedSuperettan
AIKeuropean cup32.2+7.3Gefle 0 - 1 AIKAllsvenskan
Halmstad BKwin title42.3+5.7Åtvidaberg 4 - 0 AFC UnitedSuperettan
Rocky Romerowin title29.4+5.4Kushida 14 - 15 Rocky RomeroBoSJ
Down
AEK Athens FCwin title2.2-35.2Panathinaikos 3 - 0 AEKGreece Super League Playoffs
Athletic FC Unitedpromoted33.6-25.3Åtvidaberg 4 - 0 AFC UnitedSuperettan
Gedowin title1.8-22.2Kyle O'Reilly 15 - 11 GedoBoSJ
Qviding FIFrelegated82.6+8.2IK Oddevold 3 - 1 QvidingDiv 1 Södra
IFK Norrköping FKwin title33.9-6.0Malmö 2 - 0 FalkenbergAllsvenskan
Örebro SKeuropean cup42.5-4.6Gefle 0 - 1 AIKAllsvenskan
Gefle IFrelegated93.9+3.6Gefle 0 - 1 AIKAllsvenskan
Falkenbergs FFrelegated91.7+3.5Malmö 2 - 0 FalkenbergAllsvenskan
IF Elfsborgeuropean cup15.9-2.9Gefle 0 - 1 AIKAllsvenskan
GIF Sundsvalleuropean cup21.5-2.9Gefle 0 - 1 AIKAllsvenskan

Tuesday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
Jushin LigervsChase Owens63BoSJ
OKCvsSalt Lake City8:00 PM47USL PRO
HarrisburgvsToronto7:00 PM40USL PRO
BerettavsWill Ospreay34BoSJ
Bobby FishvsRicochet34BoSJ
CearávsAtlético-GO7:15 PM21Série B
Vila NovavsVasco da Gama9:30 PM19Série B
CriciúmavsGoiás9:30 PM13Série B
LuverdensevsAvaí9:30 PM11Série B
LondrinavsNáutico7:15 PM7Série B