"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Hamilton Academical Football ClubrelegatedNo-23.3Hamilton 2 - 0 St. JohnstonePremiership
Clube Atletico MineiroLibertadores72.4%+14.7Atletico-MG 2 - 1 FlamengoSerie A
Fluminense Football ClubSerie B20.0-13.6Fluminense 4 - 1 CruzeiroSerie A
Real Salt Lakemake playoffs56.9+13.5RSL 3 - 0 Toronto FCMLS
Sociedade Esportiva PalmeirasLibertadores80.6+13.1Palmeiras 4 - 0 SantosSerie A
San Jose Earthquakesmake playoffs27.9+10.0San Jose 4 - 1 ChicagoMLS
New York Red Bullsmake playoffs58.2+8.0San Jose 4 - 1 ChicagoMLS
Orlando City SCmake playoffs19.8+4.1San Jose 4 - 1 ChicagoMLS
Minnesota United FCmake playoffs79.5+3.7Minnesota 1 - 0 ColumbusMLS
FC Cincinnatimake playoffs12.2+3.4San Jose 4 - 1 ChicagoMLS
Down
Saint Mirren Football Clubrelegated50.0+23.3Hamilton 2 - 0 St. JohnstonePremiership
Santos Futebol ClubeLibertadores53.2-12.7Palmeiras 4 - 0 SantosSerie A
Clube de Regatas do FlamengoLibertadores26.3-12.3Atletico-MG 2 - 1 FlamengoSerie A
Cruzeiro Esporte ClubeLibertadores18.2-11.0Fluminense 4 - 1 CruzeiroSerie A
Chicago Firemake playoffs61.8-10.6San Jose 4 - 1 ChicagoMLS
Sporting Kansas Citymake playoffs30.1-9.8Sporting KC 1 - 1 VancouverMLS
Toronto FCmake playoffs72.3-6.5RSL 3 - 0 Toronto FCMLS
Portland Timbersmake playoffs35.3-6.2RSL 3 - 0 Toronto FCMLS
FC Dallasmake playoffs65.6-5.9RSL 3 - 0 Toronto FCMLS
Vancouver Whitecapsmake playoffs17.7-4.2RSL 3 - 0 Toronto FCMLS

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
RUNYvsAustin65MLR
DashvsStars6:00 PM47NWSL
DragonsvsKnights2:00 PM42NRL
CanterburyvsWest Auckland41NZIHL
CouragevsRoyals5:00 PM41NWSL
SharksvsSea Eagles4:05 PM37NRL
NY Red BullsvsAtlanta10:00 AM36MLS
BethlehemvsOttawa6:00 PM35USLC
FC DallasvsLAFC2:00 PM32MLS
LoudounvsHartford2:00 PM32USLC