Melbourne Mustangs Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0 0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway
Week of 4/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Melb Mustangs vs Syd Ice Dogs	+7.9+1.8-2.8-7.8		+0.4+0.1-0.2-0.4
Newcastle vs Syd Bears	-0.0+0.2+0.1-0.0
Melb Ice vs Syd Ice Dogs	-0.0+0.2+0.2-0.0
CBR vs Newcastle	-0.0+0.2+0.2-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway
Week of 4/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Melb Ice vs Melb Mustangs	-7.8-2.9+1.9+8.0		-0.4-0.2+0.1+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Melb Mustangs finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

69	-84								In		100								87,478	*
68		21	-	2	4		-	1	In		100	0							19,421	*
67		21	-	2	5		-	0	In		100	0							32,013	*
66		21	-	1	5		-	1	In		100	0							52,424	*
65		20	-	2	5		-	1	In		100	0							83,386	*
64		20	-	2	6		-	0	In		100	0							127,609	*
63		20	-	1	6		-	1	In		100	0							195,112	*
62		19	-	2	6		-	1	In		99	1							285,918	*
61		19	-	1	6		-	2	In		99	1	0						410,677	*
60		19	-	1	7		-	1	In		98	2	0						587,064	*
59		18	-	2	7		-	1	In		97	3	0						809,396	*
58		18	-	1	7		-	2	In		96	4	0	0					1,090,063	*
57		18	-	1	8		-	1	In		93	7	0	0					1,458,905	*
56		17	-	2	8		-	1	In		90	10	0	0					1,887,766	*
55		17	-	1	8		-	2	In		85	15	0	0					2,403,499	*
54		17	-	1	9		-	1	In		78	21	1	0					3,026,849	*
53		16	-	2	9		-	1	100.0	%	70	28	2	0	0				3,700,790	*
52		16	-	1	9		-	2	100.0		61	36	4	0	0				4,445,649	*
51		16	-	1	10		-	1	100.0		49	44	7	0	0	0			5,296,250	*
50		15	-	2	10		-	1	100.0		37	50	13	1	0	0			6,123,502	*
49		15	-	1	10		-	2	99.9		25	52	21	2	0	0			6,977,824	*
48		15	-	1	11		-	1	99.8		15	49	31	4	0	0			7,863,834	*
47		14	-	2	11		-	1	99.5		8	41	42	10	1	0	0		8,609,709	*
46		14	-	1	11		-	2	98.2		3	28	48	19	2	0	0		9,316,052	*
45		13	-	2	11		-	2	94.7		1	15	46	32	5	0	0		9,958,588	*
44		13	-	2	12		-	1	86.4		0	6	36	44	13	1	0		10,346,843	*
43		13	-	1	12		-	2	71.2		0	2	21	49	26	3	0		10,617,720	*
42		12	-	2	12		-	2	50.0			0	9	41	41	9	0		10,770,926	*
41		12	-	2	13		-	1	28.8			0	3	26	48	21	2	0	10,617,943	*
40		12	-	1	13		-	2	13.6			0	1	13	44	36	6	0	10,351,738	*
39		11	-	2	13		-	2	5.3			0	0	5	32	47	15	1	9,953,144	*
38		11	-	2	14		-	1	1.8			0	0	2	19	48	28	3	9,313,052	*
37		11	-	1	14		-	2	0.5			0	0	1	10	42	41	7	8,617,255	*
36		11	-	1	15		-	1	0.2				0	0	4	31	49	15	7,866,565	*
35		10	-	2	15		-	1	0.1				0	0	2	21	52	25	6,977,448	*
34		10	-	1	15		-	2	0.0				0	0	1	13	50	37	6,124,344	*
33		10	-	1	16		-	1	0.0					0	0	7	43	49	5,300,578	*
32		9	-	2	16		-	1	0.0					0	0	4	36	61	4,446,781	*
31		9	-	1	16		-	2	0.0					0	0	2	28	70	3,697,785	*
30		9	-	1	17		-	1	Out						0	1	21	78	3,023,610	*
29		8	-	2	17		-	1	Out						0	0	15	85	2,401,442	*
28		8	-	1	17		-	2	Out						0	0	10	90	1,887,344	*
27		8	-	1	18		-	1	Out						0	0	7	93	1,458,702	*
26		7	-	2	18		-	1	Out							0	4	96	1,089,988	*
25		7	-	1	18		-	2	Out							0	3	97	808,680	*
24		7	-	1	19		-	1	Out							0	2	98	587,759	*
23		6	-	2	19		-	1	Out							0	1	99	411,827	*
22		6	-	1	19		-	2	Out								1	99	287,585	*
21		6	-	1	20		-	1	Out								0	100	195,080	*
20		6	-	0	20		-	2	Out								0	100	128,230	*
19		5	-	1	20		-	2	Out								0	100	82,743	*
18		5	-	1	21		-	1	Out								0	100	53,352	*
17		5	-	0	21		-	2	Out								0	100	31,927	*
16		4	-	1	21		-	2	Out								0	100	19,357	*
15		4	-	1	22		-	1	Out									100	11,214	*
14		4	-	0	22		-	2	Out								0	100	6,086	*
0	-13								Out									100	70,150	*

Total:									50.0	%	12	12	12	13	13	13	12	12	202,406,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs