Lier Wolfs Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Hydra 0-3, playoff odds down 6.4 to 1%

30 points 13 17-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-5.8		-0.5
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	-1.0
Wombats 3 Chiefs 6	-0.4
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6	-0.2		-0.1
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	+0.2		+0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	+0.1		+0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nostra vs Cougars			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vuohyke vs Conquistadors			+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

Chances based on how well the Wolfs finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

42	6	0		-	0	32.3	%						0	2	31	66	2						19,885,824
41	5	0		-	1	10.5								0	10	82	8						26,098,785
40	5	1		-	0	2.7									3	81	17	0	0				92,552,631
	4	0		-	2	1.9									2	81	17	0	0				14,347,823
39	4	1		-	1	0.3									0	64	34	2	0				101,780,902
	3	0		-	3	0.2									0	64	34	2	0				4,210,155
38	4	2		-	0	Out										45	47	8	0	0			180,468,560
	3	1		-	2	Out										45	47	8	0	0			44,775,244
	2	0		-	4	Out										46	47	7	0				695,598
37	3	2		-	1	Out										22	51	25	2	0			158,754,317
	2	1		-	3	Out										22	51	25	2	0			9,848,394
	1	0		-	5	Out										22	51	24	2	0			60,938
36	3	3		-	0	Out										9	42	40	9	0			187,663,792
	2	2		-	2	Out										9	42	40	9	0			52,386,175
	1	1		-	4	Out										9	42	40	9	0			1,083,853
	0	0		-	6	Out										9	44	39	9	0			2,238
35	2	3		-	1	Out										2	20	50	27	2			123,833,567
	1	2		-	3	Out										2	20	50	27	2			7,676,456
	0	1		-	5	Out										2	20	50	27	2			47,513
34	2	4		-	0	Out										0	8	39	45	8			109,794,976
	1	3		-	2	Out										0	8	39	45	8			27,250,177
	0	2		-	4	Out										0	8	40	44	8			422,463
33	1	4		-	1	Out										0	1	19	57	23			48,306,218
	0	3		-	3	Out										0	1	19	57	23			1,996,124
32	1	5		-	0	Out										0	0	7	48	44	1		34,260,801
	0	4		-	2	Out										0	0	7	48	43	1		5,309,746
31	0	5		-	1	Out											0	1	31	64	4		7,534,923
30	0	6		-	0	Out												0	15	71	15		4,557,727

Total:						1.0	%						0	0	1	28	31	23	14	4	0		1,265,605,920

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	+0.9
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	-0.1
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6	+0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	-0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nostra vs Cougars	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Snipers	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vuohyke vs Conquistadors	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

42	6	0		-	0													0	0	0	2	15	37	36	9	0	0
41	5	0		-	1														0	0	0	3	20	46	26	4	0
40	5	1		-	0																0	0	6	32	45	15	2	0	0
	4	0		-	2																0	0	5	32	46	15	2	0	0
39	4	1		-	1																0	0	1	15	43	32	8	1	0
	3	0		-	3																0	0	1	15	43	32	8	0	0
38	4	2		-	0																	0	0	3	26	43	24	4	0	0
	3	1		-	2																	0	0	3	26	43	24	4	0	0
	2	0		-	4																		0	3	26	43	23	3	0	0
37	3	2		-	1																	0	0	1	9	32	40	16	2	0	0
	2	1		-	3																		0	1	9	32	40	16	2	0	0
	1	0		-	5																		0	1	9	33	40	16	2	0
36	3	3		-	0																		0	0	2	15	39	35	9	1	0
	2	2		-	2																		0	0	2	15	39	34	9	1	0
	1	1		-	4																			0	2	15	39	34	9	1	0
	0	0		-	6																				2	15	41	34	8	1
35	2	3		-	1																			0	0	3	20	44	28	5	0
	1	2		-	3																			0	0	3	20	44	28	5	0
	0	1		-	5																				0	3	20	44	28	5	0
34	2	4		-	0																				0	0	6	30	43	18	2
	1	3		-	2																				0	0	6	31	42	18	2
	0	2		-	4																				0	0	6	31	42	18	2
33	1	4		-	1																				0	0	1	11	39	38	11
	0	3		-	3																				0	0	1	11	40	38	11
32	1	5		-	0																					0	0	3	22	46	28	1
	0	4		-	2																					0	0	3	22	46	28	1
31	0	5		-	1																						0	0	8	38	51	3
30	0	6		-	0																							0	2	21	64	13

Total:																		0	0	0	0	0	2	6	14	19	21	18	12	6	2	0