Lisbon Conquistadors Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to N Rangers 1-3, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.02%

24 points 11 19-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	-0.3		-0.4
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-0.1		+0.1
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	-0.1
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6			-0.0
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4			+0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vuohyke vs Conquistadors	Out-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.5-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.4
Nostra vs Cougars			+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Conquistadors finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

40	8	0		-	0	3.2	%								3	77	19	1	0				5,051,640
39	7	0		-	1	0.5									0	58	35	6	0				8,697,604
38	7	1		-	0	Out										36	46	16	2				30,852,677
	6	0		-	2	Out										38	46	15	1	0			6,700,263
37	6	1		-	1	Out										16	42	34	9	0			47,490,263
	5	0		-	3	Out										16	42	33	8	0			2,949,219
36	6	2		-	0	Out										6	29	44	21	1			84,210,589
	5	1		-	2	Out										6	29	44	21	1			31,336,953
	4	0		-	4	Out										6	29	43	21	1			809,991
35	5	2		-	1	Out										1	10	37	45	6			111,128,097
	4	1		-	3	Out										1	10	36	45	8			11,494,171
	3	0		-	5	Out										1	10	35	44	11			142,283
34	5	3		-	0	Out										0	3	23	56	17			131,370,834
	4	2		-	2	Out										0	3	22	54	21			61,126,450
	3	1		-	4	Out										0	3	21	51	25			2,527,794
	2	0		-	6	Out										0	2	19	49	29			15,646
33	4	3		-	1	Out										0	0	6	46	48			144,476,241
	3	2		-	3	Out										0	0	5	40	54			17,927,625
	2	1		-	5	Out										0	0	4	35	61			333,169
	1	0		-	7	Out											0	4	31	65			995
32	4	4		-	0	Out										0	0	2	32	65	1		128,080,010
	3	3		-	2	Out										0	0	1	27	70	2		63,578,300
	2	2		-	4	Out										0	0	1	21	76	2		2,955,016
	1	1		-	6	Out											0	1	17	81	2		24,515
	0	0		-	8	Out													17	83			24
31	3	4		-	1	Out											0	0	9	85	6		112,711,725
	2	3		-	3	Out											0	0	6	87	7		13,981,610
	1	2		-	5	Out												0	3	89	8		260,167
	0	1		-	7	Out													1	90	9		800
30	3	5		-	0	Out												0	4	78	18		79,940,253
	2	4		-	2	Out												0	2	78	20		37,197,271
	1	3		-	4	Out												0	1	78	21		1,539,971
	0	2		-	6	Out													0	79	21		9,600
29	2	5		-	1	Out													0	64	35		52,750,182
	1	4		-	3	Out														62	38		5,451,232
	0	3		-	5	Out														60	40		67,508
28	2	6		-	0	Out													0	43	56	1	31,175,747
	1	5		-	2	Out														40	58	1	11,602,440
	0	4		-	4	Out														38	60	1	299,961
27	1	6		-	1	Out														23	73	4	13,716,551
	0	5		-	3	Out														20	75	4	850,040
26	1	7		-	0	Out														9	76	14	6,950,916
	0	6		-	2	Out														8	77	15	1,508,199
25	0	7		-	1	Out														2	70	28	1,528,606
24	0	8		-	0	Out														0	49	50	782,772

Total:						0.0	%								0	3	7	14	27	41	8	0	1,265,605,920

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	+0.7
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	-0.1
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0	-0.0
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vuohyke vs Conquistadors	+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.6
Panthers vs Snipers	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nostra vs Cougars	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

40	8	0		-	0																0	0	6	32	44	16	2	0	0
39	7	0		-	1																0	0	1	14	41	32	10	1	0
38	7	1		-	0																	0	0	3	23	39	27	7	1	0
	6	0		-	2																	0	0	3	24	40	26	7	1	0
37	6	1		-	1																		0	0	7	26	37	23	5	0	0
	5	0		-	3																		0	0	8	27	37	22	5	0	0
36	6	2		-	0																		0	0	1	10	31	38	18	1	0
	5	1		-	2																		0	0	1	11	31	38	17	1	0
	4	0		-	4																			0	2	12	32	37	17	1	0
35	5	2		-	1																			0	0	2	12	35	41	10	1
	4	1		-	3																			0	0	2	12	34	40	11	1
	3	0		-	5																			0	0	2	11	33	39	13	1
34	5	3		-	0																				0	0	3	19	47	26	4
	4	2		-	2																				0	0	3	19	45	28	5
	3	1		-	4																				0	0	3	18	44	30	6
	2	0		-	6																				0	0	3	17	42	32	6
33	4	3		-	1																				0	0	0	4	29	47	20
	3	2		-	3																				0	0	0	3	26	48	22
	2	1		-	5																				0	0	0	3	23	50	24
	1	0		-	7																							4	21	52	24
32	4	4		-	0																					0	0	1	14	45	40	1
	3	3		-	2																					0	0	1	12	45	42	1
	2	2		-	4																					0	0	1	10	45	43	1
	1	1		-	6																						0	0	8	46	45	1
	0	0		-	8																								4	46	50
31	3	4		-	1																						0	0	2	28	65	5
	2	3		-	3																						0	0	2	27	67	5
	1	2		-	5																							0	1	26	67	6
	0	1		-	7																								0	23	71	6
30	3	5		-	0																							0	1	14	69	16
	2	4		-	2																						0	0	0	14	69	17
	1	3		-	4																							0	0	13	69	18
	0	2		-	6																								0	13	69	17
29	2	5		-	1																								0	4	63	33
	1	4		-	3																									4	60	36
	0	3		-	5																									4	58	38
28	2	6		-	0																								0	1	42	55	2	0
	1	5		-	2																									1	40	57	2	0
	0	4		-	4																									1	39	58	2	0
27	1	6		-	1																									0	23	71	6	0
	0	5		-	3																									0	20	73	6	0
26	1	7		-	0																									0	9	69	21	2
	0	6		-	2																									0	7	70	21	2
25	0	7		-	1																										2	57	36	5
24	0	8		-	0																										0	32	50	18

Total:																					0	0	0	0	2	4	7	11	19	22	27	7	0	0