Toronto Furies Playoff Chances 2014-2015

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.3 to 91.2%
2 points   1 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary 4 Toronto 5 +6.6
+0.3
Calgary 5 Brampton 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Montreal vs Calgary-0.5+0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Brampton+2.6-5.0
+0.2-0.3
Montreal vs Calgary-0.5+0.5
Montreal vs Calgary-0.5+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345Count
44-48In10011,889,046*
42203-0In10007,930,337
40194-0In100038,326,322
38185-0In1000139,712,371
36176-0In9910398,824,446
34167-0In9730913,282,335
32158-0In891001,705,730,367
30149-0In7029102,628,463,975
281310-0In3854703,367,862,514
261211-0In9563413,605,827,585
241112-099.9%019621903,233,513,936
221013-091.21335792,429,293,620
20914-060.80754391,525,971,200
18815-028.5012871797,910,541
16716-010.001090344,777,131
14617-02.70397121,811,950
12518-00.5019934,624,435
10419-00.101007,744,196
8320-00.001001,310,730
2-6Out10010,780,413*
Total:91.2%30262115921,325,587,450

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs