"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*Average seed
Loudoun County/John Champe 6 Flint Hill 13 -0.1
Kettle Run/Liberty 2 Loudoun Valley/Woodgrove 3 +0.1
Madison 2 Independence/Rock Ridge 5 +0.1
Week of 2/7100.0*Average seed
Chantilly 6 Freedom 3 +0.3
Dominion/Potomac Falls 9 Independence/Rock Ridge 5 +0.2
Flint Hill 8 Kettle Run/Liberty 9 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 2/14100.0*Average seed
Oakton vs Riverside+0.5-0.5-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Oakton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516171819202122Count
81-0-0Out10094,708,155
6-7Out100104,663,693*
Total:Out4852199,371,848

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs