How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Charlotte 3 Hartford 0 -17.8
-0.6
Utah 0 Charlotte 3 -16.3
-0.5
Atlanta 5 Quebec City 1 +15.7
+1.5
Atlanta 5 Hartford 0 +15.6
+1.4
Charlotte 4 Quebec City 2 -14.3
-0.5
Atlanta 3 Las Vegas 2 +13.5
+1.3
Atlanta 4 Cleveland 0 +11.8
+1.1
Atlanta 4 Houston 3 +11.2
+1.2
Cincinnati 5 Charlotte 3 +8.1
+0.3
Atlanta 5 Spokane 1 +5.0
+0.4
Portland 1 Charlotte 5 -4.4
-0.2
Baltimore 5 Hartford 3 -4.1
-0.2
Baltimore 5 Indianapolis 1 -3.9
-0.2
Baltimore 5 Kansas City 4 -3.7
-0.2
Charlotte 0 Indianapolis 5 +3.6
+0.1
Atlanta 2 Utah 4 -2.4
*No
-0.2
Oakland 4 Baltimore 5 -2.3
Charlotte 2 Spokane 1 -2.0
-0.1
Charlotte 5 New Orleans 3 -1.9
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 +1.8
+4.8
+0.8
Seattle 2 Baltimore 3 -1.7
Atlanta 1 Kansas City 2 -1.6
-10.2
-1.0
Atlanta 0 Green Bay 4 -1.3
-0.8
-1.5
Atlanta 4 Charlotte 1 +1.2
+0.4
+0.4
Portland 1 Baltimore 2 -1.2
Atlanta 1 Jacksonville 5 -1.1
-10.7
-0.9
Jacksonville 0 Charlotte 1 -1.0
Atlanta 5 Cincinnati 2 +0.9
+5.5
+0.5
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +0.9
+5.5
+0.5
Tulsa 5 Baltimore 1 +0.9
Atlanta 0 Milwaukee 4 -0.8
-1.3
-0.9
Atlanta 1 Oakland 5 -0.6
-0.8
-1.3
Memphis 3 Jacksonville 4 +0.5
Atlanta 2 Baltimore 0 +0.5
+0.2
+0.4
Atlanta 2 Oklahoma City 3 -0.5
-0.7
-1.1
Atlanta 3 Tulsa 2 +0.5
+0.4
+0.4
Atlanta 0 Indianapolis 2 -0.4
-14.8
-0.8
Jacksonville 1 Quebec City 0 +0.4
Atlanta 4 Portland 2 +0.4
+0.3
+0.3
Charlotte 1 Memphis 2 +0.4
Charlotte 4 Green Bay 1 -0.3
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +0.3
New Orleans 0 Baltimore 2 -0.3
Jacksonville 5 Houston 4 -0.3
Jacksonville 1 San Antonio 3 +0.3
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -0.3
Tulsa 4 Hartford 5 -0.3
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +0.3
Quebec City 1 Utah 4 +0.3
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 +0.3
Quebec City 4 Baltimore 1 -0.3
Charlotte 0 Houston 1 +0.3
Green Bay 4 Jacksonville 5 -0.3
Jacksonville 2 Oakland 1 -0.3
Oklahoma City 5 Charlotte 2 +0.3
Cincinnati 2 Quebec City 3 -0.2
Portland 2 Quebec City 3 -0.2
Cincinnati 5 Baltimore 2 +0.2
Baltimore 5 Milwaukee 3 -0.2
+0.2
Utah 4 Jacksonville 1 -0.2
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -0.2
Las Vegas 5 Jacksonville 0 -0.2
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 -0.2
Kansas City 2 Jacksonville 1 +0.2
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -0.2
Baltimore 5 Green Bay 1 -0.2
Quebec City 3 Kansas City 1 -0.2
Oakland 4 Quebec City 1 +0.2
Milwaukee 5 Charlotte 3 +0.2
Hartford 4 Memphis 0 -0.2
Quebec City 4 Spokane 0 +0.6
Quebec City 3 Indianapolis 4 -1.4
Cleveland 5 Charlotte 3 +0.2
Houston 5 Hartford 2 +0.4
Baltimore 1 Memphis 5 +1.4
Hartford 3 Spokane 0 +0.2
Indianapolis 1 Green Bay 3 +1.3
Baltimore 3 Las Vegas 4 +1.2
Indianapolis 1 Kansas City 2 +1.1
Tulsa 2 Indianapolis 0 +0.8
Milwaukee 2 Oklahoma City 4 +0.8
Indianapolis 4 Cleveland 5 +0.7
Milwaukee 5 San Antonio 2 -0.4
New Orleans 4 Utah 3 +0.4
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 -0.4
Indianapolis 5 Milwaukee 4 -0.3
Milwaukee 2 Seattle 3 +0.3
Oklahoma City 1 Memphis 3 +0.3
Milwaukee 0 Jacksonville 5 +0.2
+0.8
Utah 0 Milwaukee 1 -0.2
Cincinnati 2 Oklahoma City 1 +0.2
Memphis 3 Las Vegas 0 +0.2
Indianapolis 4 Las Vegas 3 -0.2
Milwaukee 4 New Orleans 3 -0.2
Indianapolis 4 San Antonio 3 -0.1
Atlanta 0 New Orleans 2 No
Indianapolis 5 Jacksonville 1 No
New Orleans 4 Indianapolis 5 No
Spokane 1 Milwaukee 5 -0.0
Portland 2 Memphis 1 +0.2
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 5 +0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs