Eagle River Falcons Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50
Lost to Ice Dogs 0-3, playoff odds down 0.4 to 99.5%
23 points 10 10-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ice Dogs 3 Falcons 0 | -0.3 | -0.4 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Blues vs Falcons | -0.8+0.5+0.5InInIn | -0.5+0.1+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Capitals vs Deacons | +0.4+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3 | |||
| Ice Dogs vs Wolverines | +0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1 | -0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Deacons vs Falcons | -0.8+0.5+0.5InInIn | -0.4+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Capitals vs Falcons | -0.8+0.4+0.4+0.5+0.5+0.5 | -0.4+0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Deacons vs Bears | -0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.4 | |||
| Wolverines vs Pioneers | -0.2-0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.0+0.3 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Wolverines vs Ice Dogs | -0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2 | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Ice Dogs vs Wolverines | +0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1 | -0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Falcons finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 29 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 2,564,637 | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 86 | 14 | 1,725,311 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 61 | 38 | 1 | 5,949,427 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 65 | 35 | 388,586 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 38 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 2,674,075 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 38 | 55 | 7 | 0 | 29,275 | |||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 9 | 57 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 4,610,556 | ||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 13 | 57 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 301,534 | ||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.3 | 1 | 29 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 1,037,650 | |||||||||
| 23 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 91.4 | 4 | 41 | 46 | 9 | 1,199,560 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 99.5 | % | 45 | 36 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 20,480,611 | ||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:33 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
