"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Eagle River Falcons Playoff Chances 2010-2011
Lost to Ice Dogs 0-3, playoff odds down 0.07 to 99.9%
23 points 10 10-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ice Dogs 3 Falcons 0 | -0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Capitals vs Deacons | +0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2 | |||
| Blues vs Falcons | -0.1+0.1+0.1InInIn | -0.5+0.1+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Ice Dogs vs Wolverines | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 3/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Deacons vs Falcons | -0.2+0.1+0.1InInIn | -0.4-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3 | ||
| Deacons vs Bears | -0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Capitals vs Falcons | -0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1In+0.1 | -0.2+0.2+0.2+0.4+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Ice Dogs vs Wolverines | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2 | ||
| Wolverines vs Pioneers | -0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*-0.0+0.0 | -0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Wolverines vs Ice Dogs | -0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Falcons finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | ||||
| 29 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 91 | 9 | 1,148,075 | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 83 | 17 | 1,488,063 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 56 | 44 | 0 | 5,122,140 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 57 | 43 | 484,710 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 38 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 3,342,065 | ||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 38 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 45,872 | |||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 11 | 69 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5,749,736 | ||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 14 | 66 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 476,809 | ||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 2 | 47 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 1,641,726 | |||||||||
| 23 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 99.1 | 15 | 59 | 24 | 1 | 1,893,670 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 99.9 | % | 35 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 21,392,866 | ||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:33 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
